MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ca6b82d14de466cbd19986a41eb1ded3b7a7997004967ba3758e5d4e17d7af2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 3,192$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.96 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 40c | 2,443$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 1,763$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 1,329$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.09 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 626.18$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 505.01$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 43c | 345.04$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…cdf7backed Under | 62c | 314.6$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 45c | 307.41$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.03 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 234.03$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Over | 37c | 181.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 44c | 159.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 37c | 159.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 37c | 120.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Under | 59c | 72.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…376fbacked Over | 43c | 54.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79e2…3ba7backed Under | 62c | 51.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 42c | 47.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 51c | 46.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 36c | 42.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…db30backed Over | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 74c | 30.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Under | 74c | 29.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 56c | 27.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5b…350abacked Under | 73c | 24.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b3…d0eebacked Over | 48c | 23.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 53c | 22.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Under | 58c | 21.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. AthleticsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. AthleticsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.