NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf98ea10de78eff7744a4bac91101fb116e69b409025ebc6e83b08d4e4a77bd3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Rockets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $342,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lakers | 51c | 110,000$55,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,399.93 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Rockets | 50c | 69,759$34,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,879.5 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Rockets | 49c | 61,555$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Rockets | 48c | 20,773$9,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,894.15 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Rockets | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Lakers | 53c | 19,679$10,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,234.49 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Rockets | 49c | 18,234$8,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,932.24 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Rockets | 46c | 16,050$7,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,382.79 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Rockets | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb895…e4afbacked Lakers | 50c | 10,163$5,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,069.82 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 51c | 8,977$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,426.9 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Lakers | 51c | 6,567$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,209.89 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Lakers | 52c | 6,000$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.99 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Lakers | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Rockets | 51c | 5,635$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.78 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers | 52c | 5,333$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.9 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Lakers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Lakers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Rockets | 51c | 4,613$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.76 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Lakers | 54c | 4,430$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Lakers | 52c | 4,308$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Lakers | 59c | 4,187$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.32 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Lakers | 49c | 4,000$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.73 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Lakers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Rockets | 52c | 3,860$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers | 49c | 3,761$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.11 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Rockets | 51c | 3,730$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.3 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lakers | 50c | 3,500$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Rockets | 50c | 3,488$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.91 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Lakers | 53c | 3,411$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.49 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Lakers | 50c | 3,274$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.8 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 50c | 3,209$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Lakers | 53c | 3,092$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.12 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Lakers | 67c | 3,005$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.95 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Lakers | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Lakers | 53c | 2,930$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.1 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 49c | 2,325$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.67 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lakers | 52c | 2,247$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.22 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Lakers | 53c | 2,239$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.07 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Rockets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Rockets | 49c | 1,984$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.9 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 50c | 1,882$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.46 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Rockets | 49c | 1,827$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.44 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfe…0df5backed Lakers | 52c | 1,827$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd117…9314backed Lakers | 50c | 1,710$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 51c | 1,603$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.07 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Lakers | 49c | 1,544$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Lakers | 50c | 1,436$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Lakers | 52c | 1,200$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 33c | 1,169$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Lakers | 48c | 1,092$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.76 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Lakers | 52c | 1,030$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.4 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Rockets | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Lakers | 51c | 1,019$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.48 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed Lakers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Lakers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Rockets | 47c | 980$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.6 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…5e27backed Rockets | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Lakers | 52c | 960$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Rockets | 48c | 850$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Lakers | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Lakers | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rockets | 50c | 800.91$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.46 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Lakers | 49c | 765.3$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.3 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Rockets | 48c | 759.93$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.15 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2203…e5a1backed Lakers | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Rockets | 50c | 699.98$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.99 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed Lakers | 56c | 696.42$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.42 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +195.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Lakers | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Rockets | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe641…0f63backed Lakers | 53c | 621.18$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Rockets | 47c | 609.69$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.55 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Lakers | 50c | 596.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.84 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf233…589dbacked Rockets | 49c | 579.37$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.89 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa663…eceabacked Lakers | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Lakers | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Rockets | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Rockets | 50c | 466.09$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.85 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Rockets | 46c | 439.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.39 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Rockets | 47c | 429.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Lakers | 54c | 411.11$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.11 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…0f6bbacked Lakers | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Lakers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Lakers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…9240backed Lakers | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers | 56c | 398.91$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.61 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Rockets | 51c | 388.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rockets | 42c | 375$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.69 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Rockets | 47c | 350.14$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.21 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Rockets | 32c | 348.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lakers | 50c | 346.64$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.32 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…2f9bbacked Rockets | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Lakers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Lakers | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…1e48backed Lakers | 53c | 279.25$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Rockets | 48c | 267.11$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Lakers | 51c | 264.38$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.82 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Lakers | 49c | 263.98$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.63 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…8fa6backed Rockets | 47c | 259$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Rockets | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. RocketsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 203.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 204.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.