TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$496,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$490,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $496,611 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under52c138,070$71,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,273.7215545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Over46c127,735$58,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,421.314951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d2…ac37backed Over46c85,919$39,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,327.252454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under54c85,232$45,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,392.9329245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Over48c68,353$32,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,809.282157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Over48c48,928$23,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,485.447048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Under53c33,000$17,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,510933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under55c19,800$10,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,91024942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c19,479$10,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,927.946,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Over47c15,592$7,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,328.1959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under54c11,869$6,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,449.814,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Under54c10,850$5,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,940.1712240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Over44c9,828$4,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,324.32466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+60.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over46c7,930$3,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,677.8269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Over48c7,042$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3802638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under63c6,828$4,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.692,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over48c6,445$3,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,093.62268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4322…eadebacked Over48c6,193$2,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick67cpaid-60.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf9f…30b1backed Over48c6,178$2,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,965.41266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under61c6,133$3,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.043,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over48c5,750$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,76034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9c…a907backed Over48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Under54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.78848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed Over14c3,475$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008532.9%28 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44065045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under54c2,750$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.9716743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over47c2,720$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.8818444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under52c2,568$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.7489444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c2,560$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.531,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under54c2,377$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.6662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under55c2,064$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.4866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over44c2,046$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.291520%3 W · 12 L-6.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-71.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Over47c1,995$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9304949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80040451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56416946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff93…1239backed Over43c1,179$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.06850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over38c1,175$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.361,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Under50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over47c1,084$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.0944740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over27c1,020$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.4245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc662…0927backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Over12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202548%12 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under53c987.94$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.941,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Over44c963.64$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4241546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Under57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.192850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Over48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under54c811.52$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.32,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c761.1$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under54c741.52$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.11,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over46c738.53$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.131,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under54c720$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.5645251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over48c697$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.5617643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over39c656$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over13c600$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7711437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Under51c596.96$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.2439864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Over10c510$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Over45c499$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.5616539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4559…1c26backed Under56c454$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.761735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under53c449.06$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.0650954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over47c430$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.162744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1762,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Over48c354.17$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Under53c335.22$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.226844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Under57c307.02$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0221957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15016750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x942d…896cbacked Under67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under54c289.75$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2921147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under51c279.41$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.9119254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under56c274.71$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.73,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a28…c127backed Over12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Under56c244$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.412142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Under53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4227549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Over45c218.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9819554.9%107 W · 88 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over12c217.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518743.3%81 W · 106 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Under53c216.98$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9825850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde0e…5df8backed Over48c214.67$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd206…bd2abacked Under50c213.69$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66f0…1229backed Over5c210$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3216…0cc7backed Over49c204.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Over46c204.08$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8810240.2%41 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d5…7620backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.684461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under54c187.4$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.021,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.196662.1%41 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1918552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.575253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4417944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.