TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 203.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,667
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,667 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x11cf…2674backed Over62c10,804$6,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,744.631520%3 W · 12 L-6.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-71.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under54c10,674$5,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,868.783,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c4,847$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.742,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over6c2,041$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.821,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10018844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under48c1,703$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.9614842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under49c1,683$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.3320154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Over2c1,159$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.184452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x395c…ad6fbacked Over52c1,015$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under45c1,010$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.32,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66f0…1229backed Over5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Over3c876.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10cb…8f74backed Over23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over3c805.19$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5531222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a64…3c0abacked Over15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004961.2%30 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c575$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2996,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb48…6ad1backed Over51c540$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.41752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26032450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d4…5f81backed Over4c500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24626.1%12 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over18c499.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9936243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over51c460$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under48c457.5$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.32,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ed…f28dbacked Over52c450$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Over15c341$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.47835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc61…8a6abacked Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-68.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.087153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009642.7%41 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd323…c53fbacked Over16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Under32c186$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.613036.2%47 W · 83 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c171.2$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.311,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under48c168.46$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.665045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80bd…7acdbacked Over9c143.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.887847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under33c140$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.440440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Over52c134.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18e8…0ba0backed Over46c127.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under32c127$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.86524.6%16 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Over9c124.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1127539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c121.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.431,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under48c115.11$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8549247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under47c114$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.421,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Over14c113.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under78c111.78$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4333556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over43c105.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5225651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1dd…e4a3backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-65.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Under35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6514449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6517748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b96…4d1cbacked Over52c94.23$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under50c92.68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3420247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under35c86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.923441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Under32c80$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.413837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c78.95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.462,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Under27c74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0216429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0283…67b4backed Over15c72.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+45.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over52c67.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355850%29 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under49c54.43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7246959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26e8…1c01backed Over54c54.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.357451.4%38 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Under48c47.88$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.911946.2%55 W · 64 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Over51c47.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under49c45.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2459255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.141,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over52c40.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Under35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2623649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Under35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2616640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7ae…f667backed Over40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-64.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6df…e2aabacked Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under48c35.59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.660250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under63c30.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.326274.2%46 W · 16 L+11.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+27.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…e166backed Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518757.2%107 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0730…ab62backed Over52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.740750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7898…b60dbacked Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-53.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7de…4a98backed Under48c22.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.622450%12 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.