NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f5736786ed94a48af9061c85a22f092b9a59b67cbf43859d8d8bb297fc1ba0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,735,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,915,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,735,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,901 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Rockets | 22c | 561,968$125,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,646.96 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Rockets | 62c | 533,812$328,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328,497.99 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 41c | 493,638$200,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293,413.75 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Lakers | 39c | 365,910$141,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224,364 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Rockets | 57c | 247,725$141,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,678.55 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Rockets | 61c | 200,000$122,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,000 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Rockets | 22c | 153,132$33,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,180.61 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Rockets | 60c | 125,000$75,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,999.97 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Lakers | 72c | 111,324$80,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,054.33 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Lakers | 38c | 100,000$38,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,000 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Rockets | 50c | 95,872$48,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,077.81 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lakers | 38c | 82,331$31,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,721.84 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Rockets | 60c | 81,267$48,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,760.14 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 39c | 72,831$28,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,427.17 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Lakers | 44c | 64,633$28,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,492.25 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Rockets | 6c | 61,399$3,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.6 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed Rockets | 62c | 60,675$37,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,618.39 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rockets | 16c | 60,012$9,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,503.7 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Lakers | 39c | 60,005$23,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,903 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets | 29c | 57,458$16,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,486.78 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Rockets | 34c | 52,736$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 40c | 51,693$20,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,048.72 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Rockets | 62c | 50,000$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,999.93 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lakers | 75c | 49,922$37,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,340.22 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Lakers | 38c | 44,737$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,736.84 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Rockets | 30c | 40,413$12,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,285.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Lakers | 40c | 40,061$16,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,036.68 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Rockets | 18c | 35,492$6,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,504.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Rockets | 63c | 33,864$21,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,254 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Rockets | 3c | 33,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Rockets | 3c | 32,811$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.56 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Lakers | 80c | 32,292$25,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,574.44 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Rockets | 1c | 30,892$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.25 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Lakers | 38c | 30,698$11,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,153.24 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Rockets | 60c | 30,388$18,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,232.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers | 39c | 29,927$11,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,105.71 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Rockets | 64c | 28,557$18,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,276.22 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Rockets | 4c | 28,079$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.39 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Lakers | 73c | 27,348$19,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,480.25 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc4…1f41backed Lakers | 38c | 26,316$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,315.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Lakers | 48c | 26,190$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,690.35 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Lakers | 38c | 26,119$9,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,193.54 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Rockets | 11c | 25,417$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.36 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets | 30c | 24,990$7,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,420.98 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Rockets | 61c | 22,222$13,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,555.42 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Rockets | 23c | 21,267$4,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,874.5 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…fea3backed Rockets | 60c | 20,770$12,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,461.97 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Lakers | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,200 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Rockets | 48c | 18,414$8,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,820.44 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Rockets | 61c | 18,058$11,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,015.26 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Rockets | 63c | 18,035$11,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,362.05 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…ee6abacked Lakers | 76c | 17,372$13,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.85 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Rockets | 61c | 17,072$10,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,413.87 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Rockets | 23c | 16,600$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.99 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rockets | 60c | 15,593$9,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,356 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Lakers | 39c | 15,300$5,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,333 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Lakers | 75c | 15,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 179 | 62%111 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Lakers | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,150 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Rockets | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Lakers | 44c | 14,971$6,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,346.03 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Rockets | 2c | 14,930$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.45 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Rockets | 61c | 14,915$9,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,098.4 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Lakers | 38c | 14,800$5,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,176 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Rockets | 63c | 14,250$8,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,977.44 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Lakers | 60c | 13,395$8,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,353.97 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Lakers | 75c | 13,284$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,284.08 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 27c | 13,031$3,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.85 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Lakers | 39c | 13,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,900 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Lakers | 38c | 12,880$4,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,985.6 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc8…6ca6backed Lakers | 38c | 12,675$4,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,858.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Lakers | 39c | 12,564$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,664.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…79f9backed Lakers | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Rockets | 29c | 12,449$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.09 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Rockets | 44c | 12,115$5,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,285.12 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7998…0db9backed Rockets | 0c | 11,680$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Lakers | 39c | 11,500$4,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,014.99 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Lakers | 38c | 11,209$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,947.21 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Lakers | 40c | 10,690$4,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,414 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Rockets | 60c | 10,435$6,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,254.84 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Rockets | 33c | 10,291$3,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.8 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked Rockets | 49c | 10,283$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Lakers | 39c | 10,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Lakers | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Rockets | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.99 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Lakers | 64c | 9,560$6,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.93 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Lakers | 36c | 9,500$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,060 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rockets | 0c | 9,254$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Rockets | 2c | 8,750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Rockets | 14c | 8,448$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.02 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rockets | 17c | 8,394$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.68 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Lakers | 39c | 8,380$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,123.71 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Rockets | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Lakers | 40c | 7,880$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,729.77 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Rockets | 11c | 7,857$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.5 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Lakers | 39c | 7,728$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,721.75 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Lakers | 72c | 7,500$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 36c | 7,376$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Rockets | 29c | 7,200$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.99 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Lakers | 55c | 7,183$3,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.28 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Rocketsthis page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 203.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 204.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.