NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0ec3dd7de4b6d86e598b90ca89096437d69d4b6b7ea39b20c4e98fba65fff80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Over | 51c | 20,589$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 16,705$7,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,855.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 13,934$6,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,106.5 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 53c | 10,951$5,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,196.05 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 5,613$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.57 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.44 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 53c | 2,387$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.05 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 2,386$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 51c | 2,351$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.09 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 46c | 2,032$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.15 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 1,719$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 54c | 1,685$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.75 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 49c | 1,445$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 48c | 1,283$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.93 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 51c | 827.79$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.45 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Over | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 48c | 640.43$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 593.54$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.75 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 532.4$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.81 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 48c | 424.46$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.74 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Over | 51c | 337.65$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…8129backed Over | 53c | 283.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Under | 52c | 260.6$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.09 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 48c | 255.02$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 48c | 221.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.62 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 201.84$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d91…72f1backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d4…ba2cbacked Over | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Over | 48c | 189.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.89 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Under | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Under | 52c | 135.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f68…ef58backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 52c | 89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Under | 50c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 48c | 77.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 51c | 74.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under | 54c | 74.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Under | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3a…7bdcbacked Under | 51c | 64.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb4…1bd1backed Over | 49c | 50.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 49c | 47.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…943bbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…e5acbacked Over | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 200 | 55.5%111 W · 89 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Under | 51c | 33.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 47c | 31.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…e328backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…7acdbacked Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeed2…ad97backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. RocketsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 203.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 204.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.