NBA · resolved market
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c0f817540f7834d109a903493de743fe8ef695ac1e418c859bfade955679257
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $823,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $697,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $823,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Lakers | 6c | 150,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Lakers | 7c | 50,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lakers | 6c | 50,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…0cd4backed Lakers | 1c | 50,000$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.53 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Lakers | 6c | 36,026$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.11 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Lakers | 5c | 35,721$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.15 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Lakers | 1c | 30,984$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.53 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Lakers | 6c | 16,806$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…53adbacked Lakers | 6c | 15,160$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Lakers | 7c | 14,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Lakers | 1c | 10,465$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.73 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf91…92bdbacked Lakers | 1c | 10,004$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lakers | 1c | 9,291$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lakers | 1c | 8,719$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lakers | 5c | 8,044$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.27 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Lakers | 8c | 8,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…43e6backed Lakers | 7c | 6,869$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…6756backed Lakers | 8c | 6,099$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Lakers | 1c | 5,498$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba74…e022backed Lakers | 3c | 5,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0559…e817backed Lakers | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers | 6c | 4,788$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.27 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…7423backed Lakers | 6c | 4,025$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fce…4127backed Lakers | 3c | 3,926$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46c…9a7abacked Lakers | 4c | 3,794$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked Lakers | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Lakers | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…89a0backed Lakers | 6c | 3,517$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.25 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…565dbacked Lakers | 2c | 3,009$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed Lakers | 7c | 2,999$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed Lakers | 8c | 2,875$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…5a6fbacked Lakers | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924c…497ebacked Lakers | 5c | 2,810$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fee…55fdbacked Lakers | 3c | 2,706$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…4b7dbacked Lakers | 4c | 2,666$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…5bd7backed Lakers | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7135…14dfbacked Lakers | 4c | 2,370$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…58febacked Lakers | 8c | 2,361$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…696cbacked Lakers | 1c | 2,112$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…19a9backed Lakers | 1c | 2,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad55…c74abacked Lakers | 5c | 2,084$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2df…bdc6backed Lakers | 10c | 2,013$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Lakers | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Lakers | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3f…ae90backed Lakers | 6c | 1,912$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Lakers | 4c | 1,875$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb0…e450backed Lakers | 7c | 1,776$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…d956backed Lakers | 7c | 1,697$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c4…2249backed Lakers | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ba…eba7backed Lakers | 6c | 1,663$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe994…49e6backed Lakers | 1c | 1,543$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Lakers | 1c | 1,518$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Lakers | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…6fa5backed Lakers | 7c | 1,490$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…a1f1backed Lakers | 6c | 1,466$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…18cabacked Lakers | 4c | 1,339$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…12c5backed Lakers | 8c | 1,300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…2d8dbacked Lakers | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf1…167bbacked Lakers | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Lakers | 3c | 1,160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd127…3cecbacked Lakers | 7c | 1,094$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Lakers | 8c | 1,067$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Lakers | 8c | 1,065$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Lakers | 2c | 1,064$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…7376backed Lakers | 5c | 1,054$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked Lakers | 7c | 1,030$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Lakers | 1c | 1,005$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Lakers | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…0cc8backed Lakers | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…be8dbacked Lakers | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Lakers | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…9aabbacked Lakers | 5c | 994.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…19ccbacked Lakers | 2c | 980.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a32…6e14backed Lakers | 10c | 965.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed00…0729backed Lakers | 2c | 964.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…9f14backed Lakers | 7c | 905.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…ef0dbacked Lakers | 6c | 850.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…9f33backed Lakers | 5c | 845.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 123 | 13%16 W · 107 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…b317backed Lakers | 6c | 843.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…eb2bbacked Lakers | 2c | 838.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Lakers | 4c | 742.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…e026backed Lakers | 5c | 734.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…36bbbacked Lakers | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db9…fe75backed Lakers | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…902dbacked Lakers | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…84ddbacked Lakers | 8c | 601.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6b…3bd4backed Lakers | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…0179backed Lakers | 8c | 592.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…47a4backed Lakers | 4c | 585.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…a39fbacked Lakers | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…f182backed Lakers | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Lakers | 7c | 557.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1515…8571backed Lakers | 8c | 551$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked Lakers | 6c | 549.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 231 | 39.8%92 W · 139 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c2…a111backed Lakers | 5c | 528.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…d8b5backed Lakers | 5c | 521.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…d1cbbacked Lakers | 7c | 510$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda8…bc90backed Lakers | 6c | 506.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed Lakers | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…5e26backed Lakers | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.