NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x839ea0df5cee99e3237372486d0cf37e8e5bfd8187436b2055d422c89a912d9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $664,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $707,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $664,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 345 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 47c | 269,789$126,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143,009.88 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Lakers | 53c | 250,000$132,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132,500 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed Lakers | 53c | 95,649$50,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,693.95 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Thunder | 51c | 40,160$20,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,848.6 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Thunder | 47c | 39,504$18,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,937.07 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 53c | 26,347$14,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,084.47 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder | 44c | 18,214$7,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,278.13 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Lakers | 50c | 17,488$8,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,679.38 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Thunder | 31c | 13,335$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,254.52 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Thunder | 46c | 12,405$5,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,637.7 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Thunder | 45c | 11,065$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,064.95 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 47c | 10,567$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,567.43 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 47c | 10,556$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,556.38 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Thunder | 46c | 10,298$4,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,561.07 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lakers | 51c | 9,948$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.01 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Lakers | 47c | 9,500$4,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,464.98 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Lakers | 55c | 9,000$4,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.5 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Thunder | 45c | 7,843$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,313.4 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Lakers | 54c | 7,331$3,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.97 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Thunder | 48c | 7,018$3,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Lakers | 54c | 6,852$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Thunder | 47c | 5,555$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.15 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 47c | 5,401$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.47 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Thunder | 45c | 4,723$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.59 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 69c | 3,654$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Thunder | 44c | 3,407$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.7 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Thunder | 45c | 3,381$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.45 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lakers | 52c | 3,319$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.04 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 47c | 3,302$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.8 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 53c | 3,289$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.46 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Lakers | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Lakers | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Lakers | 50c | 2,908$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.69 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Lakers | 54c | 2,667$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Thunder | 48c | 2,609$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.33 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 46c | 2,511$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.35 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Lakers | 49c | 2,441$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.69 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Thunder | 48c | 2,243$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.84 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Thunder | 53c | 2,188$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.34 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…95b0backed Lakers | 54c | 2,177$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.69 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Thunder | 46c | 2,138$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.33 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 41c | 2,038$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.65 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers | 52c | 2,019$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.88 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lakers | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Lakers | 53c | 1,915$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Lakers | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…35f8backed Thunder | 20c | 1,750$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.6 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Thunder | 46c | 1,630$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.38 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Lakers | 50c | 1,576$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.49 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Lakers | 59c | 1,508$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Lakers | 54c | 1,480$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.22 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Thunder | 47c | 1,460$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…ad24backed Lakers | 54c | 1,338$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.26 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Thunder | 59c | 1,304$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.61 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Thunder | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Lakers | 54c | 1,121$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.34 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked Lakers | 55c | 1,119$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.45 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Thunder | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Thunder | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Thunder | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Thunder | 46c | 1,026$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.16 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Lakers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Thunder | 45c | 999.53$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.74 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 53c | 976.99$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.42 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Lakers | 54c | 908.26$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.46 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 46c | 900.61$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.35 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…00e7backed Lakers | 54c | 833.41$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Thunder | 47c | 795.83$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.03 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lakers | 49c | 770.16$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Thunder | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…5f86backed Lakers | 39c | 732.5$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lakers | 66c | 730.92$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.25 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Lakers | 55c | 718.16$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Thunder | 47c | 712.23$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.48 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Lakers | 46c | 680.37$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.6 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Thunder | 46c | 653.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.15 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 46c | 652.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.3 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Thunder | 48c | 644.57$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.58 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…e677backed Lakers | 54c | 611.11$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Lakers | 60c | 610.89$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.35 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Thunder | 49c | 607.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.81 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Thunder | 40c | 600$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.3 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Thunder | 45c | 579.94$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.38 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Thunder | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 305 | 44.6%136 W · 169 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 45c | 565.11$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.87 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Thunder | 48c | 562$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.64 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Thunder | 44c | 540.2$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.9 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lakers | 55c | 519.86$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.85 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Lakers | 56c | 506.68$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.74 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Thunder | 16c | 502.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.88 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Thunder | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Thunder | 48c | 484.58$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.23 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Lakers | 54c | 471.43$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.57 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Thunder | 44c | 444.26$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Lakers | 45c | 443.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Lakers | 53c | 440$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.2 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Thunder | 48c | 423.75$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.35 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Thunder | 48c | 417.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.34 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Thunder | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…16e6backed Thunder | 54c | 416.67$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.67 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.