TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc5da…5f86

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT6656.1%37 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.07
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.62
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$5.65
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$11.52
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.99
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.57
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$14.35
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$12.04
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.02
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Chicago Wolvesbacked Chicago Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+64%+$9.94
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.42
AHL: Rapids Griffins vs. Clevelandbacked Rapids Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
AHL: Lehigh Valley Phantoms vs. Charlotte Checkersbacked Charlotte Checkers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.65
AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Tucson Roadrunnersbacked Tucson Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$9.01
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. San Jose Barracudabacked San Jose Barracuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$62.2
AHL: Bridgeport Islanders vs. Hershey Bearsbacked Bridgeport Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.2
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
AHL: Lehigh Valley Phantoms vs. Charlotte Checkersbacked Charlotte Checkers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Toronto Marliesbacked Laval Rocket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Roland Garros ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Ben Sheltonbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$4.02
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$7.31
Santos: Ryan Dickerson vs Joao Eduardo Schiesslbacked Ryan Dickerson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.65
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Linda Noskovabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.88
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockxbacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.74
Istanbul: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Laura Pigossibacked Laura Pigossi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$7.47
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
Wuxi: Ognjen Milic vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.34
Wuxi: Alex Bolt vs Fajing Sunbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.08
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Gabriela Rusebacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.04
Sarasota: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Liam Draxlbacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.37
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.25
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.81
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$3.84
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Metsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+170.7%+$25.59
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick64cpaid-37%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.88
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.26
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.25
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.14
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$6.83
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.07
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.28
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.67
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BC Dubai vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$58.64
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Paris Basketballbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$29.93
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$7.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$10.98
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Dynamo Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Dynamo Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.