UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcce7777199b9927a5bc89947e20002fb2da3e51e54da67727c271a5ea26f1a4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Melissa Crodenof Daria Zhelezniakova, Melissa Croden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $416,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $447,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $416,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Melissa Croden | 57c | 182,387$103,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,881.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 43c | 50,000$21,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,900 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 44c | 26,111$11,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,488.83 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 45c | 26,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,699.97 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 44c | 24,858$10,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,937.56 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Melissa Croden | 56c | 22,914$12,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,082 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 43c | 13,865$6,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000.66 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 46c | 13,456$6,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,189.64 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 43c | 11,472$4,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,933.38 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Melissa Croden | 55c | 10,703$5,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.35 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 8c | 10,597$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.57 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 43c | 10,010$4,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,304.2 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Melissa Croden | 55c | 7,877$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,576.73 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 44c | 7,406$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.58 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Melissa Croden | 54c | 7,168$3,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Melissa Croden | 67c | 6,681$4,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.89 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Melissa Croden | 55c | 6,324$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.89 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…89f2backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 1c | 5,033$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 33c | 4,300$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.41 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 1c | 4,273$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 40c | 3,926$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.9 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 45c | 3,843$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.05 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 46c | 3,481$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.46 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…43afbacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 1c | 3,164$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Melissa Croden | 54c | 2,859$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.96 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 46c | 2,544$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.11 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Melissa Croden | 69c | 2,449$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.04 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Melissa Croden | 54c | 2,125$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.36 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…2a7abacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 46c | 2,018$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 35c | 1,976$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.84 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Melissa Croden | 53c | 1,968$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.1 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Melissa Croden | 70c | 1,711$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.7 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 44c | 1,532$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.55 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 45c | 1,492$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.41 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 27c | 1,485$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.75 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Melissa Croden | 64c | 1,373$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.95 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Melissa Croden | 55c | 1,350$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.48 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 26c | 1,349$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.68 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Melissa Croden | 55c | 1,289$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.15 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Melissa Croden | 57c | 1,131$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.06 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Melissa Croden | 56c | 1,113$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Melissa Croden | 55c | 1,113$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Melissa Croden | 55c | 1,061$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Melissa Croden | 55c | 1,051$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 60cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Melissa Croden | 71c | 1,048$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.72 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 45c | 1,028$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.52 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 52c | 1,015$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.62 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 43c | 999.95$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Melissa Croden | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 47c | 968.93$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.97 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Melissa Croden | 57c | 905.67$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 41c | 900.01$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Melissa Croden | 48c | 898.75$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.35 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 43c | 884.36$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.27 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…5d69backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 46c | 839.86$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…8b39backed Melissa Croden | 59c | 828.94$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.29 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 45c | 811.22$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.95 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Melissa Croden | 54c | 765.28$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 33c | 760$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 36c | 732.58$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.2 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Melissa Croden | 57c | 700$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Melissa Croden | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Melissa Croden | 56c | 694.18$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 44c | 665.5$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.82 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…b574backed Melissa Croden | 56c | 659.08$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Melissa Croden | 55c | 642.18$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.98 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 47c | 618$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.46 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Melissa Croden | 58c | 588.24$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.06 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…10afbacked Melissa Croden | 56c | 584.16$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 47c | 580.92$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.03 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 44c | 546.89$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.63 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Melissa Croden | 54c | 545$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…f873backed Melissa Croden | 55c | 535.15$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 47c | 529.66$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.49 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Melissa Croden | 58c | 528.9$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.85 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed Melissa Croden | 55c | 520.36$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 44c | 514.6$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.28 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Melissa Croden | 53c | 513.95$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Melissa Croden | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Melissa Croden | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…48a3backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Melissa Croden | 54c | 434.86$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.89 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Melissa Croden | 55c | 421.72$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.77 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 46c | 417.2$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Melissa Croden | 40c | 413.49$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 43c | 409.18$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Melissa Croden | 55c | 389.2$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.14 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Daria Zhelezniakova | 44c | 382.28$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Melissa Croden | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Melissa Croden | 56c | 329$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 46c | 318.08$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.32 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 29c | 296.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 63c | 293.28$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.77 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Daria Zhelezniakova | 46c | 292.88$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.73 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Melissa Croden | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.