TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa08f…2a7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
17
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 52 out of 100; worst UFC at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)backed Rodolfo Vieira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,381.52
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Ryan Spann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,229.96
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Julia Polastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.22
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Mike Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$436.65
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Kyler Phillips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$732.9
UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Karine Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,251.54
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Thiago Moises · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$677.95
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.22
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Daria Zhelezniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$921Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$920.94
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Marcio Barbosa (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Marcio Barbosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$577.44
UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,469Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$760
UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Bolaji Oki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Bolaji Oki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Clube do Remo vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$29.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Norfolk State Spartansbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$21.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$273.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs Winthrop University (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 1 Relegation Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$11.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.