UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa05084ab52a9acba05ab8755ca830e77720f7ec6d13bb0934b63061d9e498c07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ryan Spannof Ryan Spann, Marcus Buchecha
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $737,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $831,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $737,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Marcus Buchecha | 56c | 355,685$199,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199,181.17 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Ryan Spann | 44c | 194,472$85,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,904.21 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Ryan Spann | 41c | 64,652$26,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,422.1 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Ryan Spann | 48c | 55,660$26,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,726.81 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Marcus Buchecha | 59c | 34,127$20,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,239.73 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Ryan Spann | 44c | 32,439$14,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,303.84 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Ryan Spann | 65c | 29,757$19,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,336.5 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Ryan Spann | 44c | 22,443$9,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,567.97 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Marcus Buchecha | 60c | 22,247$13,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,243.06 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Marcus Buchecha | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Ryan Spann | 41c | 19,292$7,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,382.28 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…de22backed Ryan Spann | 43c | 16,125$6,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,213.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Marcus Buchecha | 60c | 14,044$8,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,426.24 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Marcus Buchecha | 57c | 13,875$7,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,908.6 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Ryan Spann | 50c | 12,230$6,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,054.8 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Ryan Spann | 44c | 11,597$5,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,494.21 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Ryan Spann | 46c | 10,857$5,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,809.46 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ryan Spann | 40c | 9,339$3,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,603.57 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Marcus Buchecha | 59c | 9,107$5,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,335.41 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ryan Spann | 41c | 8,887$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,212.22 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Marcus Buchecha | 60c | 8,403$5,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,041.63 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…8b39backed Ryan Spann | 63c | 6,218$3,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.03 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ryan Spann | 46c | 6,166$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.02 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed Marcus Buchecha | 59c | 6,151$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,629.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Marcus Buchecha | 58c | 5,335$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.02 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Ryan Spann | 41c | 4,537$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.01 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Marcus Buchecha | 57c | 4,511$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.36 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Ryan Spann | 44c | 3,614$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.13 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…eb9abacked Ryan Spann | 58c | 3,293$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.33 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Ryan Spann | 41c | 3,067$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.78 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Ryan Spann | 59c | 2,886$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.26 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Marcus Buchecha | 58c | 2,868$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.52 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Marcus Buchecha | 58c | 2,732$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.13 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Marcus Buchecha | 42c | 2,583$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.93 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Marcus Buchecha | 60c | 2,468$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.61 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Marcus Buchecha | 52c | 2,417$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Ryan Spann | 43c | 2,312$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.59 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Marcus Buchecha | 39c | 2,208$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.81 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…2a7abacked Ryan Spann | 44c | 2,196$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b61…599cbacked Marcus Buchecha | 59c | 2,142$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Ryan Spann | 45c | 2,142$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.31 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Ryan Spann | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Ryan Spann | 45c | 1,993$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.4 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Ryan Spann | 44c | 1,987$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.71 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Marcus Buchecha | 56c | 1,964$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.61 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Ryan Spann | 43c | 1,932$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.01 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Ryan Spann | 40c | 1,836$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Ryan Spann | 55c | 1,808$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.32 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ryan Spann | 44c | 1,724$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked Marcus Buchecha | 45c | 1,684$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.68 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda26…8fefbacked Marcus Buchecha | 60c | 1,628$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.7wins | -0.34per pick | 55cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Ryan Spann | 42c | 1,575$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.63 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Marcus Buchecha | 58c | 1,503$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Marcus Buchecha | 49c | 1,489$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.58 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Marcus Buchecha | 59c | 1,473$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Marcus Buchecha | 59c | 1,463$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.23 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Ryan Spann | 41c | 1,439$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.93 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Marcus Buchecha | 58c | 1,382$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.54 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Marcus Buchecha | 55c | 1,372$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Ryan Spann | 45c | 1,363$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.88 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…8aa7backed Marcus Buchecha | 2c | 1,344$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Marcus Buchecha | 45c | 1,326$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.56 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ryan Spann | 44c | 1,319$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.37 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Marcus Buchecha | 43c | 1,216$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.24 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Marcus Buchecha | 59c | 1,214$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.99 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Ryan Spann | 60c | 1,088$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.79 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Ryan Spann | 42c | 1,007$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.86 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Ryan Spann | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Ryan Spann | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Ryan Spann | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Ryan Spann | 43c | 964.6$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.35 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Ryan Spann | 47c | 941.74$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.67 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc0…c9e8backed Marcus Buchecha | 56c | 875.08$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.68 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Marcus Buchecha | 58c | 844.63$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Ryan Spann | 61c | 826.9$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.85 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Marcus Buchecha | 58c | 801.2$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.7 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Marcus Buchecha | 61c | 781.28$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.58 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Ryan Spann | 48c | 748.45$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Marcus Buchecha | 60c | 732$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.2 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked Ryan Spann | 40c | 723$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.8 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Marcus Buchecha | 58c | 714.06$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.73 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Ryan Spann | 41c | 713.8$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Ryan Spann | 43c | 713.07$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.45 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…9f48backed Marcus Buchecha | 2c | 705.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Marcus Buchecha | 60c | 696.21$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.73 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Ryan Spann | 60c | 620.42$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.85 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…3f80backed Ryan Spann | 41c | 604.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.58 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Marcus Buchecha | 57c | 595.82$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.62 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Marcus Buchecha | 60c | 569.33$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.6 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Marcus Buchecha | 58c | 566.21$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…8c35backed Ryan Spann | 43c | 560.29$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.83 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 41cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…d4d3backed Marcus Buchecha | 60c | 515.65$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.39 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Ryan Spann | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Ryan Spann | 42c | 499.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Marcus Buchecha | 60c | 499.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…ee37backed Marcus Buchecha | 60c | 491.25$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.75 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Ryan Spann | 40c | 491$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.6 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Marcus Buchecha | 60c | 485.35$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…5cddbacked Ryan Spann | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Ryan Spann | 48c | 481.08$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.86 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.