UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb56ed850684fc45685054b6d2c7758ef37cedc696ef51d64d0ff6830b5c0fd03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robert Valentinof Robert Valentin, Julien LeBlanc
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $408,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $447,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Julien LeBlanc | 40c | 287,729$115,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,464.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Robert Valentin | 60c | 75,312$45,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,124.88 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Robert Valentin | 60c | 74,983$44,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,993.38 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Robert Valentin | 60c | 40,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Robert Valentin | 59c | 40,000$23,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,399.97 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Robert Valentin | 60c | 28,095$16,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,243.85 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Robert Valentin | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Julien LeBlanc | 38c | 9,973$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.55 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Julien LeBlanc | 39c | 7,275$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.64 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Robert Valentin | 60c | 5,997$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.85 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Robert Valentin | 60c | 5,666$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.4 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Robert Valentin | 62c | 5,625$3,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.02 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Robert Valentin | 62c | 4,886$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.11 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Robert Valentin | 60c | 3,868$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Robert Valentin | 62c | 3,152$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.93 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Julien LeBlanc | 9c | 3,087$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.84 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Robert Valentin | 59c | 2,669$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.39 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Julien LeBlanc | 37c | 2,555$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.5 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Julien LeBlanc | 38c | 2,536$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.81 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Julien LeBlanc | 30c | 2,300$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Robert Valentin | 73c | 2,294$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.26 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…2a7abacked Robert Valentin | 66c | 2,229$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Julien LeBlanc | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Julien LeBlanc | 40c | 1,799$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.86 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Robert Valentin | 59c | 1,775$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.75 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Robert Valentin | 59c | 1,417$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.17 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Julien LeBlanc | 7c | 1,417$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.61 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Julien LeBlanc | 27c | 1,312$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.42 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Robert Valentin | 62c | 1,299$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.57 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Robert Valentin | 61c | 1,067$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.63 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2e…56d9backed Julien LeBlanc | 3c | 1,063$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Robert Valentin | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Robert Valentin | 59c | 999.19$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.67 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Julien LeBlanc | 48c | 973.99$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.52 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc0…c9e8backed Robert Valentin | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Julien LeBlanc | 40c | 919.99$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Julien LeBlanc | 29c | 896.17$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.35 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Robert Valentin | 45c | 874$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.7 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Robert Valentin | 64c | 862.47$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.18 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b61…599cbacked Robert Valentin | 58c | 843.91$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.59 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a39…9e71backed Robert Valentin | 61c | 832.06$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Julien LeBlanc | 55c | 809.29$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.11 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Robert Valentin | 63c | 774.09$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.14 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Robert Valentin | 61c | 640.8$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.17 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Julien LeBlanc | 39c | 598.65$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…cb10backed Robert Valentin | 60c | 550$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Robert Valentin | 79c | 548.34$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Robert Valentin | 61c | 520.16$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.86 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…724fbacked Robert Valentin | 56c | 518.42$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.84 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Robert Valentin | 60c | 501.82$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2258…0eecbacked Julien LeBlanc | 21c | 500.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Robert Valentin | 62c | 494.46$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.9 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…c496backed Julien LeBlanc | 39c | 494.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Julien LeBlanc | 43c | 490$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.9 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Robert Valentin | 62c | 488.6$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.67 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Julien LeBlanc | 39c | 481.7$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.86 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Robert Valentin | 61c | 480.3$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.32 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4562…b300backed Julien LeBlanc | 40c | 479.27$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Robert Valentin | 63c | 468.86$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.6 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Robert Valentin | 61c | 419.34$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.54 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Robert Valentin | 61c | 410.37$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d0…6ab2backed Julien LeBlanc | 52c | 402.22$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.16 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Julien LeBlanc | 38c | 399.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Julien LeBlanc | 39c | 399.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Robert Valentin | 62c | 343.42$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Robert Valentin | 48c | 334.53$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.11 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x980c…74cebacked Robert Valentin | 58c | 334.35$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…678dbacked Robert Valentin | 61c | 321.51$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…fe3abacked Robert Valentin | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…0932backed Robert Valentin | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…4527backed Robert Valentin | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Robert Valentin | 61c | 271.09$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Julien LeBlanc | 37c | 262.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Julien LeBlanc | 38c | 260.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Julien LeBlanc | 41c | 259.31$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Robert Valentin | 70c | 259.24$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Julien LeBlanc | 40c | 249.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked Julien LeBlanc | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Julien LeBlanc | 40c | 245.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Julien LeBlanc | 41c | 237.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4c…246fbacked Julien LeBlanc | 43c | 230.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Julien LeBlanc | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Julien LeBlanc | 55c | 218.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…b8f3backed Julien LeBlanc | 40c | 216.9$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Robert Valentin | 60c | 195.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Robert Valentin | 80c | 194$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Robert Valentin | 60c | 193.08$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Julien LeBlanc | 39c | 185.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f94…f992backed Robert Valentin | 77c | 182.59$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaead…ec13backed Robert Valentin | 58c | 174.69$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…c1e5backed Robert Valentin | 60c | 167$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Robert Valentin | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Robert Valentin | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Robert Valentin | 62c | 153.7$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Julien LeBlanc | 38c | 151.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Robert Valentin | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Julien LeBlanc | 40c | 144.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Julien LeBlanc | 40c | 142.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed Julien LeBlanc | 39c | 141.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…029bbacked Julien LeBlanc | 43c | 139.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card)this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.