TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eric McConicoof Eric McConico, Rodolfo Vieira
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$263,097
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$329,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,097 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Rodolfo Vieira75c23,605$17,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,705.8415444.2%68 W · 86 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Eric McConico24c21,773$5,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,544.8113452.2%70 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54d2…ac37backed Eric McConico25c21,690$5,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,267.471346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+46.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Rodolfo Vieira1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200368.3%3 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Rodolfo Vieira76c10,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,60010542.9%45 W · 60 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Rodolfo Vieira76c9,496$7,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,216.891566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Eric McConico20c7,390$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,896.0615939.6%63 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Eric McConico64c5,853$3,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.8620954.1%113 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Eric McConico24c5,368$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,080.033650%18 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Rodolfo Vieira76c4,555$3,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,461.828849.7%143 W · 145 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Rodolfo Vieira74c4,236$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,124.028058.8%47 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e3…1080backed Rodolfo Vieira74c3,803$2,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,811.225736.8%21 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Rodolfo Vieira76c3,302$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.343339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed Rodolfo Vieira46c3,118$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.14746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Eric McConico24c3,061$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.0526743.8%117 W · 150 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a37…2650backed Eric McConico26c2,619$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe4…e2fabacked Eric McConico26c2,619$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Rodolfo Vieira57c2,576$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4674327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd72…b6c6backed Rodolfo Vieira75c2,000$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.995151%26 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Eric McConico24c1,986$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.1129133.7%98 W · 193 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Rodolfo Vieira76c1,949$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.261540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Eric McConico26c1,838$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.59955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+88.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa08f…2a7abacked Rodolfo Vieira78c1,771$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.521233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed Rodolfo Vieira35c1,655$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.294233.3%14 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71b4…f97ebacked Eric McConico23c1,631$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.915851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+192.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Eric McConico32c1,556$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.318940.4%36 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Eric McConico27c1,508$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.615650%28 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Eric McConico26c1,440$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.8411332.7%37 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52f4…2b15backed Eric McConico52c1,414$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.8216156.5%91 W · 70 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Rodolfo Vieira72c1,307$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.034847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Rodolfo Vieira38c1,268$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.332343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Eric McConico61c1,226$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.737754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Rodolfo Vieira74c1,201$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.2710255.9%57 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Rodolfo Vieira38c1,115$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.519638.5%37 W · 59 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Eric McConico65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.17460.8%45 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Eric McConico27c999.96$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.9736745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Rodolfo Vieira74c985.97$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.148461.9%52 W · 32 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Eric McConico39c977.29$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.386048.3%29 W · 31 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Eric McConico61c976.6$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.8730964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf584…2497backed Rodolfo Vieira37c962.2$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.014143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Rodolfo Vieira20c952$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.420233.7%68 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Rodolfo Vieira27c949.63$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.4335848.3%173 W · 185 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Rodolfo Vieira74c945.98$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.0342054%227 W · 193 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99b1…196abacked Eric McConico33c870.99$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.048861.4%54 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Eric McConico37c860.21$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.6720139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Rodolfo Vieira67c847.02$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.55156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Rodolfo Vieira80c842.62$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.743946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Rodolfo Vieira35c792.72$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.212227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-56.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Rodolfo Vieira57c783.28$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.6115933.3%53 W · 106 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Eric McConico26c755.92$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.9836655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Rodolfo Vieira76c724.24$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.7610546.7%49 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Eric McConico19c724.17$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.9427448.2%132 W · 142 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Eric McConico25c716.4$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.914032.5%13 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Eric McConico64c672.71$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9513453%71 W · 63 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Eric McConico24c666.11$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.492857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e48…f025backed Rodolfo Vieira75c656.67$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.51457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Rodolfo Vieira76c643.78$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.123435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Rodolfo Vieira45c627.22$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.7715540.6%63 W · 92 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Rodolfo Vieira40c601.58$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.461442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Eric McConico23c600$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46232545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb925…0f4abacked Eric McConico24c585.37$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.145335.8%19 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Eric McConico23c573.46$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.5614558.6%85 W · 60 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Eric McConico24c572.64$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.217647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Rodolfo Vieira79c566.65$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.8390553.6%485 W · 420 L+46.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Eric McConico25c539.28$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.461070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+66.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Eric McConico25c533.47$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.436045%27 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Rodolfo Vieira77c512.31$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.4810949.5%54 W · 55 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd1f…2bd0backed Eric McConico26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370580%4 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick33cpaid+132.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Eric McConico66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17021554.4%117 W · 98 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Eric McConico25c499.09$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.329247.8%44 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Eric McConico24c462.19$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.2752252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Rodolfo Vieira76c456.2$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.8826140.6%106 W · 155 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rodolfo Vieira69c455.52$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.98754%47 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Eric McConico27c455.33$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33151533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Eric McConico28c451.49$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.074957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b0a…fe3abacked Eric McConico49c446.12$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.343964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7358…1d32backed Eric McConico58c420.17$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.477647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Rodolfo Vieira39c403.47$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2738353.3%204 W · 179 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b02…0933backed Rodolfo Vieira35c399.2$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.34757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Rodolfo Vieira79c393.19$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.6953956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Rodolfo Vieira30c381.28$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3914551%74 W · 71 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc4…143cbacked Eric McConico26c363.86$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rodolfo Vieira74c359$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.6613953.2%74 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15cc…bfaabacked Eric McConico27c354.51$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.894037.5%15 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Eric McConico65c354.19$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.799944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Eric McConico24c350$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26633132%106 W · 225 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked Eric McConico26c349.16$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.383756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Eric McConico50c341.79$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.892157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7a…f429backed Rodolfo Vieira74c334.08$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Eric McConico65c325.42$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.441866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Eric McConico50c324.84$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4212557.6%72 W · 53 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x718c…50eabacked Rodolfo Vieira68c295.68$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.062356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58db…6901backed Eric McConico31c281.55$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.36546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3d…351dbacked Eric McConico71c268.03$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2412055.8%67 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed Eric McConico52c261$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.284656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Rodolfo Vieira37c260.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.223342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f3…3426backed Eric McConico26c259.92$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.3414132.6%46 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x838d…3cbdbacked Eric McConico26c257.28$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.381241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Rodolfo Vieira51c254.12$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.337154.9%39 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda79…daecbacked Eric McConico26c252.5$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.718440.8%75 W · 109 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.