UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Bolaji Oki (Lightweight, Prelims)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2773029d99752380697e144e03be35c57125911f17f4df4cc45c80029badc5fc

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Manoel Sousaof Manoel Sousa, Bolaji Oki
Resolved: Mar 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $456,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,402 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x07b8…8e25backed Bolaji Oki	28c	70,000$19,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,519.99	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Bolaji Oki	27c	55,555$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,999.84	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Manoel Sousa	72c	53,326$38,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,847.4	145	58.6%85 W · 60 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Manoel Sousa	73c	53,230$38,858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,372.1	222	59.5%132 W · 90 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Bolaji Oki	29c	49,833$14,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,301.57	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Manoel Sousa	71c	31,514$22,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,004.3	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Manoel Sousa	72c	28,975$20,862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,112.98	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Bolaji Oki	56c	19,223$10,783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,783.03	84	34.5%29 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Manoel Sousa	73c	15,470$11,263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,206.52	115	54.8%63 W · 52 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Bolaji Oki	27c	13,650$3,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,685.47	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Manoel Sousa	74c	13,588$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,587.56	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7a…8536backed Bolaji Oki	58c	10,000$5,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,794.26	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Bolaji Oki	28c	9,063$2,583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,582.73	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bolaji Oki	27c	8,000$2,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,160	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Bolaji Oki	52c	7,946$4,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,111.29	209	54.1%113 W · 96 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Bolaji Oki	27c	6,000$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Bolaji Oki	28c	6,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,649.98	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bolaji Oki	28c	5,333$1,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,479.89	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Manoel Sousa	55c	5,114$2,815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,298.97	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Manoel Sousa	71c	5,106$3,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,486.11	195	44.6%87 W · 108 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd72…b6c6backed Manoel Sousa	71c	5,100$3,621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,478.99	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bolaji Oki	28c	4,853$1,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,380.49	88	48.9%43 W · 45 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Bolaji Oki	31c	4,548$1,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,393.49	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Manoel Sousa	71c	4,136$2,936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,199.59	420	54%227 W · 193 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Manoel Sousa	41c	4,057$1,663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,393.69	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Manoel Sousa	71c	4,008$2,837 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,171.69	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa08f…2a7abacked Bolaji Oki	29c	3,448$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa850…f1babacked Bolaji Oki	28c	3,253$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.91	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Bolaji Oki	29c	2,936$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.49	156	41%64 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Bolaji Oki	28c	2,835$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795.45	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Bolaji Oki	30c	2,725$804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$804.29	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf1d…3b8fbacked Bolaji Oki	29c	2,674$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Manoel Sousa	71c	2,397$1,692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.24	87	54%47 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Bolaji Oki	28c	2,314$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.97	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Manoel Sousa	74c	2,206$1,632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.36	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Manoel Sousa	48c	2,177$1,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,141.05	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Bolaji Oki	30c	2,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	186	47.3%88 W · 98 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6431…ab69backed Bolaji Oki	28c	2,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Manoel Sousa	67c	1,998$1,342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.63	167	45.5%76 W · 91 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Bolaji Oki	41c	1,986$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812.24	46	69.6%32 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Bolaji Oki	28c	1,800$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Bolaji Oki	29c	1,500$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-5.3wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Manoel Sousa	72c	1,500$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.99	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Manoel Sousa	67c	1,482$987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.91	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb752…767dbacked Bolaji Oki	29c	1,379$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Bolaji Oki	28c	1,332$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373	86	50%43 W · 43 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c93…f0f6backed Bolaji Oki	28c	1,330$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.74	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Manoel Sousa	68c	1,208$817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390.76	224	38.4%86 W · 138 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x384d…d538backed Bolaji Oki	27c	1,207$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.84	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Bolaji Oki	26c	1,204$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.41	264	51.9%137 W · 127 L	+23.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Bolaji Oki	29c	1,186$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.11	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-22%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Bolaji Oki	26c	1,170$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.08	145	51%74 W · 71 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Bolaji Oki	33c	1,157$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.32	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Bolaji Oki	40c	1,146$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.73	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Manoel Sousa	61c	1,091$668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.08	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Bolaji Oki	28c	1,086$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.9	113	32.7%37 W · 76 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Bolaji Oki	43c	1,076$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.2	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Manoel Sousa	72c	1,065$767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.2	92	28.3%26 W · 66 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Bolaji Oki	28c	1,042$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.7	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Bolaji Oki	29c	1,034$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	142	37.3%53 W · 89 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Bolaji Oki	28c	1,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf05…f8e1backed Manoel Sousa	70c	1,000$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	70cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Bolaji Oki	28c	1,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Manoel Sousa	58c	971$561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.64	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee0…d75ebacked Bolaji Oki	28c	965.32$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.29	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1de6…0b70backed Bolaji Oki	38c	786.19$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.13	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-6.4wins	-0.25per pick	32cpaid	-84.9%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Bolaji Oki	34c	755$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.58	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Manoel Sousa	62c	745$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.24	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Manoel Sousa	57c	705$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.08	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Manoel Sousa	74c	675.68$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.68	62	50%31 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d31…0286backed Manoel Sousa	73c	663.01$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.01	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	71cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Bolaji Oki	36c	660$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.03	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Manoel Sousa	73c	616.44$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.44	298	48.7%145 W · 153 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Bolaji Oki	39c	600$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.58	155	40.6%63 W · 92 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Bolaji Oki	28c	587$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.64	209	33.5%70 W · 139 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Manoel Sousa	52c	579.9$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.04	318	55%175 W · 143 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0506…8c6abacked Bolaji Oki	35c	577.39$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	167	46.1%77 W · 90 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Bolaji Oki	5c	567.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.02	159	39.6%63 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Manoel Sousa	72c	555.56$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.56	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb145…df85backed Bolaji Oki	32c	552.82$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bolaji Oki	62c	546.06$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.56	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bolaji Oki	26c	528.99$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.45	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Bolaji Oki	29c	528.74$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.55	522	52.9%276 W · 246 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae84…fd9dbacked Manoel Sousa	69c	514.21$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.41	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3155…268ebacked Manoel Sousa	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	+7.3wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Bolaji Oki	29c	500$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Manoel Sousa	73c	500$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	356	64.6%230 W · 126 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x941f…bac9backed Manoel Sousa	45c	499.97$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.98	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Manoel Sousa	72c	499.64$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.02	226	61.9%140 W · 86 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Bolaji Oki	19c	447.67$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.85	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Manoel Sousa	58c	444$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.74	149	29.5%44 W · 105 L	-15.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Bolaji Oki	28c	440.27$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	261	40.6%106 W · 155 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x940c…6d07backed Bolaji Oki	28c	422.61$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.33	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Bolaji Oki	28c	386$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.08	136	47.8%65 W · 71 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa89a…8667backed Manoel Sousa	72c	364.96$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.19	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3d3…e8e1backed Bolaji Oki	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Manoel Sousa	53c	350$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.06	325	45.2%147 W · 178 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed Bolaji Oki	29c	348.28$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Bolaji Oki	35c	344$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.89	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Bolaji Oki	28c	336.25$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.15	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	34cpaid	-82%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Bolaji Oki (Lightweight, Prelims)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Will Manoel Sousa win by KO or TKO?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Bolaji Oki (Lightweight, Prelims)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event