NHL · resolved market
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Chicago Wolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe921e91bdbd3365dd66e250abb364d01809a65db6ddfaf24c19a167b44e2db6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Wolvesof Milwaukee Admirals, Chicago Wolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Milwaukee Admirals | 1c | 8,574$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 17c | 900.8$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Milwaukee Admirals | 8c | 727.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Milwaukee Admirals | 36c | 639.43$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.03 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 43c | 541.86$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.35 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Milwaukee Admirals | 15c | 462.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 40c | 438.82$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.75 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Milwaukee Admirals | 41c | 426.77$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Milwaukee Admirals | 43c | 282.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.29 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Milwaukee Admirals | 48c | 201.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Milwaukee Admirals | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…88f7backed Milwaukee Admirals | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 44c | 199.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 48c | 197.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Milwaukee Admirals | 9c | 144.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Milwaukee Admirals | 17c | 117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…eb9fbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 45c | 117$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Milwaukee Admirals | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 44c | 94.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Milwaukee Admirals | 44c | 94.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Milwaukee Admirals | 43c | 89.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Milwaukee Admirals | 19c | 77.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Milwaukee Admirals | 46c | 64.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Milwaukee Admirals | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Milwaukee Admirals | 47c | 51.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Chicago Wolves | 60c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Milwaukee Admirals | 45c | 46.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Milwaukee Admirals | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 43c | 40.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…3f36backed Milwaukee Admirals | 46c | 39.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 44c | 36.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Chicago Wolves | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Chicago Wolves | 61c | 33.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Milwaukee Admirals | 45c | 33.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Chicago Wolves | 69c | 29.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Milwaukee Admirals | 45c | 29.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Milwaukee Admirals | 43c | 28.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Milwaukee Admirals | 39c | 28.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…5f86backed Chicago Wolves | 61c | 25.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Milwaukee Admirals | 46c | 25.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87c…d60dbacked Chicago Wolves | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.