TailMyPicks

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Euroleague · resolved market

Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Paris Basketball

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zalgiris Kaunasof Zalgiris Kaunas, Paris Basketball
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5e9…811dbacked Paris Basketball34c3,269$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.28812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01a2…ade9backed Zalgiris Kaunas78c1,801$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Paris Basketball12c1,232$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5713220.5%27 W · 105 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Paris Basketball23c1,150$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.355545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Paris Basketball23c1,146$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.521353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Zalgiris Kaunas73c1,084$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.538936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Zalgiris Kaunas65c1,032$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.8554251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Paris Basketball22c1,020$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Paris Basketball12c844.16$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6528943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Paris Basketball23c793.81$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a81…7debbacked Zalgiris Kaunas79c739.66$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.38683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Paris Basketball21c588.52$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9726935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd43b…5913backed Zalgiris Kaunas76c586.08$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.57785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Paris Basketball22c564.69$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3513147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Zalgiris Kaunas74c538.04$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.337052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa58f…ee1abacked Zalgiris Kaunas78c450.5$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.31666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Paris Basketball26c404.13$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.761656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Paris Basketball24c373.48$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.684946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…7a4ebacked Paris Basketball22c352.07$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.173636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Zalgiris Kaunas79c350.35$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.273775.7%28 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Paris Basketball30c319.55$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.82240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7988…a57ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas76c318.39$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd857…04adbacked Paris Basketball15c307.85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a7…cb0bbacked Paris Basketball7c280.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Paris Basketball8c259.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.142955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas78c253.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6710663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Zalgiris Kaunas77c251.48$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.848453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Paris Basketball21c244.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522536%9 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Paris Basketball28c210.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.071637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Zalgiris Kaunas77c199.43$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.183855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f3…80b3backed Paris Basketball28c189.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+168.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1c…95dcbacked Zalgiris Kaunas79c188.26$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.182564%16 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Paris Basketball23c165.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.475648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2d…df85backed Paris Basketball30c159.89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zalgiris Kaunas77c139.77$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7435234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Paris Basketball23c139.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.951650%8 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+63%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Paris Basketball24c138.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.252030%6 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Zalgiris Kaunas77c129.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.758037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Paris Basketball22c128.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.21757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24f7…75fbbacked Paris Basketball22c128.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d6…14e5backed Zalgiris Kaunas77c128.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.463100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x130a…856cbacked Paris Basketball23c126.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf25c…a27dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.831546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…cdb7backed Zalgiris Kaunas78c112.48$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Paris Basketball22c111.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.125642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Paris Basketball21c110$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.18653.5%46 W · 40 L+10.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x435a…21a5backed Zalgiris Kaunas77c103.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Paris Basketball19c101.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5925517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Zalgiris Kaunas77c98.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.685271.2%37 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Zalgiris Kaunas73c95.84$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.921535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Paris Basketball16c93.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.916470.3%45 W · 19 L+11.5wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x90a0…db2ebacked Paris Basketball17c90.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c70…2523backed Zalgiris Kaunas78c84.76$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.652272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Paris Basketball28c83.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Paris Basketball23c82.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.086233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Paris Basketball12c82.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0214037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Paris Basketball20c81.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.486119.7%12 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba28…fa8fbacked Paris Basketball26c76.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.96825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Paris Basketball30c76.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.993633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Paris Basketball16c69.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11675%12 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Zalgiris Kaunas77c68$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7812040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b5d…adc4backed Zalgiris Kaunas80c64.22$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed Zalgiris Kaunas78c63.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.252860.7%17 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Paris Basketball21c63.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.255453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas77c58.37$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.421163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x794c…fa17backed Zalgiris Kaunas78c50.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.052075%15 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Paris Basketball24c47.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.32520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Paris Basketball23c46.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Zalgiris Kaunas75c45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2526544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab7…d03cbacked Zalgiris Kaunas77c44.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.181687.5%14 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas75c40.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1531651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c49…bb2dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas78c36.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Zalgiris Kaunas75c34.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.697462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c32…d55fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas74c33.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.651442.9%6 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.28per pick71cpaid-38.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Zalgiris Kaunas77c31.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Zalgiris Kaunas77c30.54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.022846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Zalgiris Kaunas65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.55565.5%36 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6267…e3babacked Zalgiris Kaunas77c28.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5da…5f86backed Zalgiris Kaunas73c27.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas77c25.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.963100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas79c25.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.494548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Zalgiris Kaunas79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Zalgiris Kaunas78c23.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.119946.5%46 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed Zalgiris Kaunas77c21.85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c5…8581backed Zalgiris Kaunas76c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6f0…3c7bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas78c18.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5d…3967backed Zalgiris Kaunas78c18.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Zalgiris Kaunas77c18.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.28425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-67.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Zalgiris Kaunas77c18.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.292040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Zalgiris Kaunas77c16.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.696162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3ad…5911backed Zalgiris Kaunas77c15.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Zalgiris Kaunas75c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.52254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.