TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90a0…db2e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Commodities at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT5939%23 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$29.75
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.75
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$33.87
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$32.08
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+137.6%+$128
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.86
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$52.94
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.84
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.14
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.73
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.81
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$166.98
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$48.31
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.48
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$78.53
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.08
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.76
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$10.62
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.36
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mauricio Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.87
Will Zhang Mingyang win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Zhang Mingyang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$44.51
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.06
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$45.01
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.81
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.76
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Nathaniel Wood · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$21.44
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ion Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$40.13
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Steven Asplund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.14
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$31.64
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Elijah Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Eryk Anders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.97
Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.29
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.06
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.04
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$31.2
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$14.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.41
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$35.29
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.43
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+152.3%+$42.73
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 19 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+73.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-62.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcanbacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$104.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Paris Basketballbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.