Music · resolved market
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc489ce6c2a412da6b02e062ea20ace0b77dd293f5215eec4361e97a2fa92a118
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 66c | 40,463$26,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,754.8 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed No | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 38c | 13,065$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,150.58 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 54c | 13,063$7,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,007.32 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 51c | 7,597$3,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886.28 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 58c | 6,425$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 32c | 6,249$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.68 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…924abacked No | 47c | 6,095$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 5,700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 4,983$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 24c | 3,907$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 46c | 3,826$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.67 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 44c | 3,355$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.3 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 18c | 2,951$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.43 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 53c | 2,909$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.49 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed Yes | 24c | 2,812$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…5866backed Yes | 45c | 2,806$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 2,639$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.44 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…2dadbacked Yes | 78c | 2,411$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 61c | 2,342$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3f…fec2backed No | 13c | 2,317$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…18dabacked Yes | 78c | 1,875$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 45c | 1,842$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.06 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 1,645$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 55c | 1,456$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.32 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f2…e1dcbacked Yes | 67c | 1,394$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…2d33backed No | 50c | 1,379$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.57 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 64cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 63c | 1,339$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.57 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a2…8601backed Yes | 16c | 1,253$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Yes | 21c | 1,244$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.41 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…2f27backed No | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 25c | 1,187$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.62 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 16c | 1,150$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +525%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…ed47backed No | 14c | 1,145$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 42c | 1,135$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.71 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…9578backed No | 59c | 1,067$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked No | 46c | 1,052$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 54c | 943$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.59 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 66c | 892.09$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.13 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 839.07$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.86 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fd…22c7backed Yes | 55c | 822.27$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 28c | 815.61$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Yes | 23c | 807.97$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 59c | 805.87$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 22c | 800$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.85 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 61c | 799.99$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.39 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…aa36backed No | 14c | 722.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…a47fbacked Yes | 71c | 675.48$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 18c | 672.21$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.1 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Yes | 36c | 666$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…9f6abacked No | 45c | 614.12$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1be…3a18backed No | 49c | 595.74$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…7e23backed Yes | 67c | 589.15$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 44c | 576.27$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 60c | 571$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…5868backed No | 9c | 545.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x728d…f7e6backed No | 78c | 516.32$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80de…2e87backed Yes | 44c | 488.21$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.61 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…8730backed No | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…732cbacked No | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…e1d4backed No | 76c | 446.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…6713backed No | 68c | 436.12$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…9359backed Yes | 21c | 422.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Yes | 24c | 421.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…47e0backed No | 48c | 418.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked No | 40c | 413.05$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…e521backed Yes | 63c | 410.9$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes | 26c | 410.69$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 22c | 409.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85d…5331backed No | 24c | 403$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 80c | 401$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked Yes | 53c | 400$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 6c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebe…287cbacked Yes | 53c | 400$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60a…ee1cbacked No | 62c | 400$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7522…8afdbacked No | 79c | 398.35$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 55c | 393.51$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.82 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeea…672cbacked No | 61c | 371.18$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…d09cbacked Yes | 24c | 370.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 55c | 361.89$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.72 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f9…86ddbacked Yes | 55c | 361$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 58c | 359.38$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…db2ebacked Yes | 52c | 350.47$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 75c | 342.92$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.83 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Yes | 54c | 340$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…f6e9backed Yes | 19c | 337.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…d59fbacked Yes | 23c | 334.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…df45backed No | 19c | 323.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed Yes | 74c | 319.77$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…9ef6backed No | 61c | 318.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…e0cabacked No | 16c | 316.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3004…3df7backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0854backed Yes | 23c | 300$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…00b7backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed Yes | 56c | 300$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…3365backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…5e9ebacked Yes | 24c | 299.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?this page
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.