TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1748…5e9e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT7251.4%37 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.4
Spain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.93
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.92
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$8.72
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$9.98
Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.82
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.45
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.59
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.71
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.4
France vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.51
Netherlands to score first vs. Morocco?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Brian Brobbey: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.04
Germany vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.35
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.35
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+168.9%+$453.62
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$94.4
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$131.21
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.69
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.2
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$787.51
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,660Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+434.8%+$7,216.16
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$129.32
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,068.2
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,937Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$779.5
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,404Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,296
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$436.94
Spread: Houston Cougars (-9.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-13.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$66.39
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,224
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.36
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$79
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$29.93
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$224.23
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+46.6%+$20.63
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-64.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+110.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.