TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,357,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,609,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,357,789 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03ba…a1efbacked Yes43c105,434$44,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,440.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+45.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8c…e36fbacked No47c67,183$31,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,437.111442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50a9…7964backed Yes53c57,848$30,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,055.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73b9…7aa3backed Yes50c49,470$24,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,669.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb42…76a5backed No3c46,211$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.1830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed No50c40,160$19,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,904.494161%25 W · 16 L+8.3wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+51.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No1c38,007$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.774440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2dc…49f9backed Yes51c35,502$18,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,479.29785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.52per pick34cpaid+219.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9dcc…e816backed Yes49c31,605$15,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,962.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa022…77f8backed No45c26,069$11,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,646.6960%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5025…dd30backed No57c21,910$12,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,426.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes67c21,419$14,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,989.5411853.4%63 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed No49c20,201$9,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,898.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+84.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed No34c19,176$6,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,581.2310127.7%28 W · 73 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b13…5367backed Yes52c17,782$9,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,586.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No50c17,623$8,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,885.3554934.6%190 W · 359 L-37.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9236…e368backed Yes49c15,052$7,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,643.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5462…eed6backed Yes54c13,680$7,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,274.281947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x396f…7f78backed No5c12,317$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec23…24fdbacked Yes53c12,232$6,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,800.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x083f…a55fbacked Yes51c12,032$6,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,840.081428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No45c11,705$5,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,234.0612345.5%56 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes75c10,463$7,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.72944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No48c10,354$4,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,927.14425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-64.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b9…3294backed No3c10,332$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x035d…5a61backed Yes71c10,200$7,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed No73c10,000$7,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,277.97825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-60.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No47c9,750$4,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,534.155121.6%11 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-56.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a9…5a71backed No39c9,640$3,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,722.475527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598e…7336backed Yes48c9,531$4,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,999.89540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No47c9,362$4,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,413.32616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-75.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No31c9,327$2,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,910.8416535.8%59 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x539d…1e69backed Yes54c9,277$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,277.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ce…3242backed No27c9,042$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf93…2fd7backed Yes68c8,312$5,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4e…1ba4backed Yes49c8,084$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0841866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa43d…00f4backed No46c8,001$3,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,705.951952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a82…4edfbacked Yes36c7,538$2,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,807.51450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+39.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed No50c7,422$3,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,706.3414240.8%58 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c1…825fbacked No22c7,420$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.835113.7%7 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+106.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked No44c7,290$3,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,213.7915932.7%52 W · 107 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+102.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x401e…6fc9backed No19c7,124$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.861872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+66.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x96ef…5523backed No48c6,902$3,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,346.162955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked Yes55c6,782$3,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,026.545100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+405.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3d9…6461backed No65c6,691$4,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,31620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed No52c6,678$3,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,461.9918036.7%66 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b0…76f4backed No44c6,400$2,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.192927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6e3…8079backed Yes45c6,374$2,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,520.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7a…500cbacked Yes46c5,989$2,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,204.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6069…1549backed Yes51c5,894$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf1f…c59cbacked Yes50c5,669$2,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,841.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076a…d67abacked Yes48c5,352$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,796.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No54c5,128$2,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,747.9188448.5%429 W · 455 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0826…0b32backed No61c5,000$3,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,028.72650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…ad6bbacked Yes43c4,948$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.21546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked No51c4,911$2,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,510.9326139.8%104 W · 157 L+16.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f5f…ef39backed No44c4,533$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.4140%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…3569backed No10c4,531$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed No52c4,430$2,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,292.6913444.8%60 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No56c4,419$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.3311741%48 W · 69 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d19…f2f9backed Yes45c4,400$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5267…548fbacked Yes47c4,305$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b0…d650backed No61c4,247$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.447570.7%53 W · 22 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd1f…3f0fbacked Yes49c4,218$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,148.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005b…cb86backed No1c4,188$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff82…dfcfbacked Yes49c4,086$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9776…8794backed Yes49c4,057$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,083.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9a…561ebacked No2c4,015$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d2…cf2ebacked No50c3,984$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…7ce7backed Yes50c3,974$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,973.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e33…0187backed No53c3,957$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No52c3,942$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.6914834.5%51 W · 97 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda66…3f38backed Yes69c3,889$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.053336.4%12 W · 21 L-6.6wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-47.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x940b…c9d8backed Yes26c3,889$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,881.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f4…2e5ebacked Yes54c3,841$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.65757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes54c3,796$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-53.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a1…e821backed Yes45c3,777$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+40%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked No43c3,556$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.6914947.7%71 W · 78 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked No46c3,400$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.151450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes60c3,393$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.7224637.4%92 W · 154 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed No50c3,383$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.512129.8%36 W · 85 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ed…805bbacked No1c3,234$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed No47c3,200$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49910151.5%52 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b6…1fdabacked Yes24c3,070$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,344.974100%4 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+249.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xe51f…473dbacked Yes59c3,060$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x135f…2a21backed No1c3,013$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.26540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid-18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…fc71backed Yes51c3,000$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd22…7dd6backed Yes49c2,986$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe79…803abacked Yes61c2,980$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x117a…01babacked No47c2,943$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a98…a9d9backed Yes45c2,890$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42f…a6a7backed No48c2,698$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.0719742.6%84 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x626e…0f32backed No1c2,636$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24dd…2944backed Yes57c2,589$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8dd…c441backed Yes58c2,589$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d0…4fe8backed No48c2,585$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.0811454.4%62 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc620…7a70backed No36c2,584$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.5550%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No52c2,542$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.3214027.9%39 W · 101 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdba…1b0ebacked Yes40c2,533$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+152%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc285…d26ebacked No1c2,506$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.