TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc620…7a70

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
307
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT15540%62 W · 93 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 155 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 4 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$16.21
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Dbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$85.5
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.1
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Bbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.62
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.75
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Showing 25 of 155 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.8
T20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Galle Gallantsbacked Galle Gallants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.26
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+224.2%+$39.5
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Derbyshirebacked Leicestershire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.36
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$30.45
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$37.36
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.14
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+125.4%+$19.31
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.72
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.28
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.31
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.37
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$68.04
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.22
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.68
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$116
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$192
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$146
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$121.99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+111%+$136.8
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$14.38
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$41.72
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.3
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$638.12
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.6
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.9
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.06
All 23 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.61
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 4 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$88
Team Liquid to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.54
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs summer bear - Game 2 Winnerbacked summer bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs summer bear - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Dota 2: Lindorfitos vs x5 Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Lindorfitos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Team Refuser - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Refuser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+521.1%+$83.9
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.75
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.45
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.12
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.75
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.06
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.66
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nova Esports Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2backed U 1.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$82.99
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.01
Valorant: TYLOO vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 Winnerbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$33.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+75.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$115.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+170.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+294.2%+$229.72
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$63.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$19.94
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.25
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$24.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$585.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.