Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs summer bear - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10115ae703c8444b35438d402d56470e7f579ce307e2fba42025d89cb137d45b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- summer bearof Team Syntax, summer bear
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed summer bear | 74c | 15,602$11,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,982.81 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Team Syntax | 61c | 4,298$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.31 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Team Syntax | 52c | 4,218$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.88 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked summer bear | 53c | 3,555$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.87 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked summer bear | 39c | 3,429$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.04 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Team Syntax | 54c | 2,154$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Syntax | 49c | 2,060$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.41 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed summer bear | 52c | 2,015$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.05 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Team Syntax | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked summer bear | 45c | 1,845$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.11 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…e95dbacked Team Syntax | 38c | 1,559$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.9 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Syntax | 45c | 1,318$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.88 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Team Syntax | 16c | 1,184$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.4 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Syntax | 22c | 1,100$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Team Syntax | 46c | 1,100$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed summer bear | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.99 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked summer bear | 52c | 1,021$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.83 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked summer bear | 49c | 1,018$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ce…8ccdbacked Team Syntax | 4c | 922.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Team Syntax | 48c | 861.04$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.4 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Syntax | 48c | 837.59$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.54 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked summer bear | 42c | 797.62$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.14 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed summer bear | 63c | 782.41$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.02 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed summer bear | 52c | 770.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.83 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed summer bear | 41c | 731$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.29 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed summer bear | 47c | 638.42$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.97 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed summer bear | 71c | 630.9$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.9 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Team Syntax | 53c | 623.98$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.83 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Syntax | 3c | 618.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Team Syntax | 49c | 611.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked summer bear | 40c | 600.5$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.73 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed summer bear | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed summer bear | 47c | 556.5$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.95 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…d9d6backed summer bear | 51c | 520$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Syntax | 45c | 500$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Team Syntax | 50c | 499$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.52 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed summer bear | 48c | 454.39$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.57 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed summer bear | 68c | 450$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Team Syntax | 53c | 424.22$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.94 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked summer bear | 63c | 419.24$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.83 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed summer bear | 48c | 416.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.2 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Team Syntax | 25c | 404.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked summer bear | 44c | 387.33$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.04 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed summer bear | 40c | 367.73$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.64 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Team Syntax | 54c | 366$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.98 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Syntax | 49c | 340.08$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.73 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Team Syntax | 60c | 329.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed summer bear | 50c | 323.93$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.59 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team Syntax | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Team Syntax | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Syntax | 53c | 299.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Syntax | 56c | 283.58$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team Syntax | 52c | 281.64$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed Team Syntax | 45c | 267$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed summer bear | 53c | 264.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.92 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed summer bear | 62c | 257.77$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Syntax | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Syntax | 37c | 230.42$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Team Syntax | 59c | 222.59$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.33 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed summer bear | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed summer bear | 45c | 219.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked summer bear | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.3 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Team Syntax | 46c | 203.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed summer bear | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Team Syntax | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed summer bear | 47c | 186.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team Syntax | 46c | 182.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked summer bear | 74c | 176.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Syntax | 59c | 164.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Team Syntax | 46c | 162.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Syntax | 48c | 149.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Team Syntax | 19c | 148.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…a3dfbacked Team Syntax | 39c | 144.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…156fbacked summer bear | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked summer bear | 77c | 130.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Team Syntax | 43c | 125.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Team Syntax | 56c | 120.39$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…b3debacked Team Syntax | 13c | 117.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Team Syntax | 36c | 115.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked summer bear | 65c | 114.76$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed summer bear | 44c | 111$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked summer bear | 45c | 107.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8804backed summer bear | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Syntax | 48c | 94.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Team Syntax | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Syntax | 38c | 88.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed summer bear | 45c | 87.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1d…cc28backed Team Syntax | 57c | 86.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed summer bear | 57c | 81.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked summer bear | 44c | 81.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Team Syntax | 54c | 76.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked Team Syntax | 51c | 71.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Team Syntax | 55c | 71.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Syntax | 55c | 71.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed summer bear | 54c | 70.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Team Syntax | 49c | 70.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Syntax | 50c | 69.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed summer bear | 65c | 67.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Team Syntax | 51c | 66.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Team Syntax | 29c | 65.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs summer bear - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group BTeam Syntax won
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs summer bear - Game 1 WinnerTeam Syntax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.