Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs summer bear - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74a3aea4000839362d53d2f89ab61a99409cc2e71b4c76a01121ecfe7e1aefa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Syntaxof Team Syntax, summer bear
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked summer bear | 37c | 5,999$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.23 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Syntax | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked summer bear | 51c | 4,891$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.2 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked summer bear | 59c | 4,401$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.82 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked summer bear | 52c | 2,695$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.69 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed summer bear | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked summer bear | 63c | 2,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.97 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Syntax | 35c | 1,787$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.29 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Syntax | 48c | 1,722$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.91 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed summer bear | 17c | 1,606$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.79 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed summer bear | 57c | 1,581$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.32 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Team Syntax | 38c | 1,566$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.66 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Syntax | 47c | 1,496$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.87 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked summer bear | 55c | 1,475$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.9 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Syntax | 41c | 1,242$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.28 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Team Syntax | 49c | 1,208$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.22 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Team Syntax | 39c | 1,197$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.99 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Team Syntax | 56c | 1,124$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.53 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked summer bear | 61c | 1,015$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.79 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…e95dbacked Team Syntax | 38c | 949.97$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.73 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked summer bear | 65c | 929.97$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.48 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Team Syntax | 48c | 869.96$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.58 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed summer bear | 62c | 810.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked Team Syntax | 42c | 719.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.58 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Syntax | 57c | 719.4$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.4 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed summer bear | 58c | 708.1$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.42 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Syntax | 30c | 687.48$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.26 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Syntax | 43c | 683.73$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.5 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Team Syntax | 80c | 680$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed summer bear | 65c | 660.08$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.71 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed summer bear | 42c | 638.24$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.33 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Syntax | 42c | 609.54$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.72 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed summer bear | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Team Syntax | 54c | 551.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.47 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed summer bear | 64c | 509.52$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.18 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked summer bear | 64c | 502.73$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.48 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Syntax | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Team Syntax | 63c | 479.38$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.07 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked Team Syntax | 41c | 465.68$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.36 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed summer bear | 65c | 460.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.63 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed summer bear | 46c | 452.33$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.42 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Syntax | 56c | 393.78$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.05 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed Team Syntax | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Team Syntax | 69c | 377$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.87 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Syntax | 49c | 363.3$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.28 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Syntax | 31c | 329.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.2 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Team Syntax | 42c | 307.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team Syntax | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed summer bear | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…88e5backed Team Syntax | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Syntax | 39c | 299.64$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.85 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Syntax | 35c | 273.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.79 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Syntax | 41c | 258.9$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed summer bear | 52c | 254$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed summer bear | 64c | 251.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team Syntax | 39c | 251.28$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.28 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Team Syntax | 48c | 230$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Syntax | 45c | 223.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.15 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Team Syntax | 55c | 216$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Team Syntax | 33c | 209.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed summer bear | 48c | 207.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Team Syntax | 45c | 205.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Team Syntax | 50c | 205$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Team Syntax | 37c | 203.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.51 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Team Syntax | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.57 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed summer bear | 54c | 194.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked summer bear | 70c | 178.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Team Syntax | 50c | 167.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.02 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Team Syntax | 49c | 162.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Team Syntax | 41c | 161.95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed Team Syntax | 35c | 150$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked summer bear | 68c | 143$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Team Syntax | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed summer bear | 69c | 137.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Team Syntax | 38c | 137.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Team Syntax | 50c | 128.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked summer bear | 65c | 121.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Team Syntax | 46c | 111.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Team Syntax | 42c | 109.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed summer bear | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Team Syntax | 40c | 100.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed Team Syntax | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Syntax | 35c | 97.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed summer bear | 50c | 97.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Team Syntax | 61c | 94.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Team Syntax | 37c | 84.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed Team Syntax | 41c | 84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed summer bear | 27c | 81.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Team Syntax | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Team Syntax | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked summer bear | 63c | 78.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Team Syntax | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Team Syntax | 62c | 76.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed summer bear | 46c | 76.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Team Syntax | 29c | 75.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked summer bear | 64c | 74.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8804backed summer bear | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Team Syntax | 37c | 68.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked Team Syntax | 48c | 67.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Team Syntax | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs summer bear - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group BTeam Syntax won
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs summer bear - Game 2 Winnersummer bear won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.