TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Syntax vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Syntaxof Team Syntax, summer bear
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,642
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,642 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked summer bear25c16,627$4,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,159.2632549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Syntax51c8,562$4,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,196.6789741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked summer bear50c6,397$3,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,182.0180256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed summer bear30c4,368$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.7747650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Team Syntax71c4,338$3,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.215050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed summer bear17c4,031$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.9614825%37 W · 111 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed summer bear16c3,200$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50718143.6%79 W · 102 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked summer bear21c2,984$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.723736.7%87 W · 150 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed summer bear50c2,500$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9896557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked summer bear56c2,431$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3591,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Syntax66c2,348$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.8793546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Team Syntax49c2,080$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.988042.5%34 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Syntax61c2,028$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.622,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed summer bear18c2,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35051544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed summer bear1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202110.5%1 W · 210 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-99.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed summer bear49c1,917$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.535431.5%17 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Team Syntax49c1,880$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.65244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Syntax71c1,807$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.133867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Team Syntax55c1,731$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.3210961.5%67 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked summer bear53c1,491$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.7561456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b17…672ebacked summer bear26c1,376$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked summer bear15c1,231$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8689238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Syntax50c1,229$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.7647646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed summer bear3c1,200$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.56132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed summer bear44c1,124$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.091,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Syntax47c1,106$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.1779859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed summer bear55c1,092$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.7725359.3%150 W · 103 L+15.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9015…281fbacked summer bear41c1,071$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.863855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x968b…87f6backed summer bear50c1,009$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.021471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed summer bear44c1,005$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.0412646%58 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Syntax49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.179959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Syntax55c999.95$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9861449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed summer bear50c999.05$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.181,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Syntax56c962.89$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.496645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed summer bear52c959.57$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.6911753%62 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Team Syntax52c912.65$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.4828044.3%124 W · 156 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f42…1f72backed Team Syntax56c899.97$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.9931865.1%207 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed summer bear51c882.35$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45017757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked Team Syntax52c793.98$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.632756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Team Syntax53c637.65$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6122543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked summer bear53c635.37$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.7311758.1%68 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed summer bear46c612.32$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28015848.1%76 W · 82 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked summer bear44c603.88$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.3670236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked summer bear15c599.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885637.5%21 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed Team Syntax49c565$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2515639.1%61 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf902…a267backed Team Syntax57c562.5$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.111457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec71…4858backed summer bear53c559.74$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13ee…01aebacked Team Syntax47c558.99$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.86744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked summer bear47c554.33$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.636448.4%31 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked summer bear16c553.78$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2525143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51be…12c2backed Team Syntax61c533.93$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.8519251%98 W · 94 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x495c…c9eabacked summer bear43c533.84$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.07540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked summer bear44c532.09$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.7221253.8%114 W · 98 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd977…d9d6backed summer bear54c529.98$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.19933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f26…bf90backed Team Syntax64c520.71$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Team Syntax51c507.45$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6515650.6%79 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Team Syntax53c502$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.944454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Syntax49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.4135737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Team Syntax52c449$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.5210743.9%47 W · 60 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed summer bear49c427.31$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-80.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Team Syntax78c421.81$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8135461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Team Syntax72c373.34$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8343860.5%265 W · 173 L+44.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed summer bear44c370.53$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.62842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed summer bear18c369.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.754246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed summer bear54c368.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009156%51 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Team Syntax58c350.96$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.676237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Syntax54c335.07$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.091,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked summer bear44c324.93$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6266848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed summer bear52c312.56$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4321158.3%123 W · 88 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed summer bear48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15048054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Team Syntax64c300.91$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4331251.3%160 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x619a…036abacked Team Syntax70c300.03$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.92666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9417…8440backed summer bear50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509455.3%52 W · 42 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked summer bear12c298.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0814336.4%52 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked summer bear47c295$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.651838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked summer bear45c292.22$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.526843.7%117 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ea…49e9backed Team Syntax47c286$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.581747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed summer bear53c282.53$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.741,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked summer bear35c275.19$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.649340.9%38 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Syntax54c269.99$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4570052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked summer bear47c266.38$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254540%18 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed summer bear56c265.9$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14828252.5%148 W · 134 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked summer bear41c263.71$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1089322.6%21 W · 72 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed summer bear40c260.51$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2118437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x115d…1691backed Team Syntax55c260.51$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7914244.4%63 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Syntax58c259.01$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6691553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed summer bear46c258.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9623736.7%87 W · 150 L-17.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Team Syntax52c257.15$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12431248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5b…6c2abacked summer bear43c254.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team Syntax65c250.77$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7740442.3%171 W · 233 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b34…e95dbacked summer bear35c250.01$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.35131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Team Syntax52c247.67$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6737549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked summer bear49c242.74$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206369.8%44 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Team Syntax54c241.61$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1413635.3%48 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed summer bear40c240.47$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3547548%228 W · 247 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Syntax59c233.48$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4571342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eef…44a0backed Team Syntax48c221.23$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.047160.6%43 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Team Syntax45c220.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.334858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11ee…e6c6backed summer bear46c217.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf52…efdfbacked Team Syntax54c215$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.921558.6%126 W · 89 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.