Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf101e3eb4ed5a96c484d6acc7f2679d0dd69de58970b9568ffae754eac9b1eff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $396,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $443,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 42,831$11,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,921.43 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Nemesis | 20c | 16,448$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.97 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 69c | 11,796$8,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654.41 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 11,549$7,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920.76 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 68c | 10,676$7,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.41 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Spirit | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…3116backed Team Nemesis | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Spirit | 54c | 10,000$5,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,583.88 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 9,845$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.93 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Nemesis | 28c | 8,691$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.31 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 8,217$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.14 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Nemesis | 31c | 7,654$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.59 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 6,572$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Nemesis | 17c | 6,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Spirit | 66c | 5,454$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.89 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 4,732$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.49 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 4,641$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.93 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Nemesis | 25c | 4,442$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.05 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 4,229$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.35 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 4,182$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.05 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…8112backed Team Spirit | 75c | 4,003$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.22 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 71c | 3,729$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.51 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 3,420$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.78 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Nemesis | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 3,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…f85bbacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 2,995$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 2,817$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.25 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Nemesis | 17c | 2,409$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Team Spirit | 80c | 2,400$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…d6a4backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 2,309$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.47 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 2,282$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.44 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Nemesis | 28c | 2,265$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.55 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 2,216$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.94 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Team Spirit | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Spirit | 72c | 2,100$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.5 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Team Nemesis | 14c | 2,076$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.07 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Nemesis | 34c | 2,050$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.9 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Team Spirit | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 1,942$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.31 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked Team Nemesis | 31c | 1,849$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.19 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Spirit | 65c | 1,811$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.83 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Nemesis | 34c | 1,697$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 1,650$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 1,643$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Team Spirit | 66c | 1,532$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.98 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Nemesis | 17c | 1,504$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.68 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Team Spirit | 71c | 1,432$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.79 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 1,400$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.83 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Team Nemesis | 18c | 1,326$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.68 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Spirit | 78c | 1,300$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 1,300$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.38 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,200$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.33 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 1,140$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.99 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 1,114$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.07 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked Team Nemesis | 3c | 1,111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 1,078$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.72 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Team Spirit | 63c | 1,074$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.49 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 1,062$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 1,001$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Team Spirit | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.1 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Spirit | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Nemesis | 19c | 965.59$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.46 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Nemesis | 15c | 915.88$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Spirit | 70c | 900$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 887.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.28 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 880.97$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.97 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Spirit | 64c | 819.98$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.99 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 810$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.5 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Team Nemesis | 4c | 783.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 760$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.1 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Team Nemesis | 28c | 738.89$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Team Spirit | 71c | 722.1$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.67 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 705$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Spirit | 74c | 700$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 696.83$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.8 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…71a1backed Team Spirit | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Team Spirit | 73c | 685.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.86 | 93 | 65.6%61 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 679.99$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 650$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Spirit | 79c | 623.29$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc24…27f1backed Team Spirit | 74c | 614.35$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Team Nemesis | 33c | 614.29$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.86 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 601.47$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…3b0dbacked Team Nemesis | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed Team Spirit | 60c | 581.7$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.7 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…6b5bbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 554.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Nemesis | 2c | 549.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 536.61$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.01 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Team Nemesis | 10c | 521.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…8aa2backed Team Spirit | 56c | 518.32$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.32 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Nemesis | 34c | 509$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.42 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 507.84$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.43 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 507.11$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.27 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed Team Spirit | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…042dbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group CTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.