Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbba4add1c66b4ba424a3d3ca48c9c48476643dfd9bf6bb69cc0b41856e16e00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $259,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f8a…8a18backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 39,000$8,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,852.46 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Spirit | 78c | 17,374$13,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,854.16 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 12,000$9,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.61 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 76c | 10,000$7,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.96 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 76c | 9,260$7,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.31 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Spirit | 79c | 9,085$7,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.79 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 9,069$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Team Nemesis | 18c | 6,585$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.16 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 6,327$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Nemesis | 19c | 4,952$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.83 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Nemesis | 1c | 4,725$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Nemesis | 14c | 4,023$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.26 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Nemesis | 17c | 3,750$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.5 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Nemesis | 25c | 3,696$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.88 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked Team Nemesis | 16c | 3,688$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 79c | 3,552$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.22 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 2,760$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.41 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Nemesis | 14c | 2,500$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.98 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Spirit | 75c | 2,309$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.16 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Nemesis | 18c | 2,131$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.21 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Nemesis | 19c | 2,124$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.96 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21cb…0c7cbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 2,115$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 2,089$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.54 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 2,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 1,985$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.65 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Nemesis | 2c | 1,917$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Nemesis | 18c | 1,628$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.75 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 1,609$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.35 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Nemesis | 18c | 1,600$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.57 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Team Nemesis | 19c | 1,505$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.24 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 1,388$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Team Nemesis | 14c | 1,218$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.43 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Team Nemesis | 17c | 1,180$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 1,117$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 1,096$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.89 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 74c | 1,070$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.99 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Nemesis | 18c | 1,061$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…2a8dbacked Team Nemesis | 28c | 1,044$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Spirit | 73c | 1,039$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.73 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Nemesis | 13c | 1,036$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.99 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Team Nemesis | 15c | 1,033$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Team Nemesis | 17c | 1,029$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Nemesis | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Spirit | 78c | 978.68$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.3 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 976.38$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.8 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…b50bbacked Team Nemesis | 4c | 949.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 943$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.45 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed Team Spirit | 78c | 936.02$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.92 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 924.94$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 19c | 904.41$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.53 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 900$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Spirit | 76c | 899.68$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.92 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Nemesis | 5c | 829.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 820.01$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.98 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 773.33$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 749.98$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.36 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Team Nemesis | 18c | 724.54$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Team Nemesis | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Spirit | 74c | 699.97$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 696.06$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.29 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Nemesis | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Spirit | 73c | 599.99$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.13 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Nemesis | 18c | 588.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc24…27f1backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 578.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 572.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.91 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Nemesis | 23c | 563.47$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.22 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…cd80backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 548.69$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Spirit | 77c | 539.62$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.11 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…6107backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 505.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 500$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…04cbbacked Team Nemesis | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Team Nemesis | 14c | 499.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 494.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e96…e128backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 488.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Nemesis | 14c | 485.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…3b0dbacked Team Nemesis | 25c | 473.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Nemesis | 15c | 471.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…8b63backed Team Nemesis | 19c | 470$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 408.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Nemesis | 15c | 383.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 357.85$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 350$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 350$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Nemesis | 8c | 346.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked Team Nemesis | 17c | 320.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…5277backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 300.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb521…34aebacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 299.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Team Nemesis | 7c | 278.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Team Spirit | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…4ca3backed Team Spirit | 78c | 256.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group CTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.