TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe60e…3f04

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 52 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT6660.6%40 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.06
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.39
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,717Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,716.58
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$524.38
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$921Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$323.62
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$364
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$120
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$337.5
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$438
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$238
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$735
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$498
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$938Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$462
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.49
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$322.5
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$209
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$132
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$75.6
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$155
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$279
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$225.49
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$297
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group Cbacked Donstu Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$962Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$961.99
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Donstu Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.49
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Procyon Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$365.5
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$662.49
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial - Map 2 Winnerbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.93
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 - Map 1 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$437.1
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.4
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$312
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$210
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs SPARTA (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$369.6
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.99
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.04
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+203%+$468.98
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute - Map 2 Winnerbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+354.9%+$585.13
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$376
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Dbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Bbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.92
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR - Map 2 Winnerbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.5
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs BIG Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Bbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.05
All 24 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.92
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.56
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$419.67
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$747
Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$121
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+164.2%+$779.26
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$254.2
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$67.1
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+153.6%+$617.8
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,662Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+39.5%+$1,052.04
Over $7M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+99.1%+$226.43
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$134.55
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+564%+$549.15
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$179
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$478.79
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.99
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$154.89
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+76.1%+$47.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.