CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08565bc79ae93d89ddd6177037fa71dc8cc6f890b4fdbcc3ce8323d53876845e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Keyd, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Keyd | 14c | 1,337$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.37 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial | 78c | 1,272$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.46 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Imperial | 70c | 1,154$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.33 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Imperial | 73c | 920.81$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.78 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Imperial | 56c | 907.19$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.05 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed Keyd | 16c | 849.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.93 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 16c | 735.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Keyd | 17c | 598.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Keyd | 19c | 544.72$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Imperial | 73c | 436.68$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.1 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Keyd | 13c | 403.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Keyd | 26c | 357.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Keyd | 26c | 340.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Keyd | 10c | 339$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Keyd | 23c | 262.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Keyd | 26c | 238.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Keyd | 13c | 234.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Keyd | 32c | 220.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Keyd | 17c | 220.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Keyd | 20c | 158.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Keyd | 28c | 132$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Keyd | 25c | 129.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial | 76c | 124.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Imperial | 78c | 121.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 46c | 119.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Keyd | 26c | 103.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Keyd | 20c | 96.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Imperial | 76c | 88.57$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Keyd | 25c | 77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Imperial | 68c | 74.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Keyd | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…3f76backed Keyd | 28c | 69.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Keyd | 17c | 68.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Keyd | 32c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked Imperial | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 108 | 67.6%73 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Imperial | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Keyd | 29c | 58.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Keyd | 33c | 55.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Keyd | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Imperial | 73c | 27.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Imperial | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Imperial | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Imperial | 62c | 19.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.