CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d0869101a7b31384b24271c9bb6c9ce39a0e43e7d8e9bf6cd2eec27082693c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Keyd, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 16c | 1,212$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.11 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Keyd | 21c | 962.93$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.96 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial | 78c | 918.93$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.05 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Imperial | 80c | 725$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Keyd | 7c | 696$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 10c | 535.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Keyd | 21c | 499.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Keyd | 16c | 438.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Keyd | 20c | 414.15$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…594bbacked Keyd | 21c | 404.76$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Keyd | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Keyd | 23c | 391.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Keyd | 4c | 374.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Keyd | 5c | 371.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Keyd | 19c | 362.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Keyd | 23c | 352.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Keyd | 18c | 299.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Keyd | 18c | 296.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Keyd | 23c | 278.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…668ebacked Keyd | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Keyd | 19c | 240$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Keyd | 16c | 185$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Imperial | 78c | 175.11$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Imperial | 79c | 166.18$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Keyd | 18c | 160.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Keyd | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Imperial | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Imperial | 80c | 111.07$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ac…2fb7backed Imperial | 78c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Imperial | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Imperial | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Keyd | 19c | 81.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Keyd | 14c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Imperial | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Imperial | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Imperial | 77c | 32.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Imperial | 79c | 29.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Imperial | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Imperial | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Imperial | 78c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Imperial | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Imperial | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.