CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37c8f451fc5dcfa4a67e6b3f2015d6ef305b754cd11367bfdb657d2722a0571c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Keyd, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 29c | 993.63$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.99 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Keyd | 28c | 971.19$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.39 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Keyd | 34c | 791.16$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.6 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Keyd | 25c | 755.42$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.97 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Imperial | 73c | 538.36$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.02 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 24c | 509.76$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.31 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Keyd | 32c | 430.72$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.12 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Keyd | 14c | 424.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Keyd | 30c | 422$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.38 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Keyd | 26c | 340.56$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Imperial | 71c | 323.86$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Keyd | 18c | 291$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Keyd | 26c | 230.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Imperial | 70c | 195.92$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Imperial | 74c | 193.03$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Imperial | 65c | 179$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Keyd | 29c | 174.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Keyd | 33c | 162.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Imperial | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Imperial | 77c | 155.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Keyd | 15c | 123.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Keyd | 32c | 102$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed Keyd | 26c | 96.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Keyd | 15c | 89.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Imperial | 73c | 82.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768a…56bdbacked Keyd | 29c | 74.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Keyd | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Keyd | 25c | 68.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Keyd | 22c | 64.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Keyd | 23c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Keyd | 26c | 59.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Keyd | 26c | 59.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked Imperial | 70c | 57.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 108 | 67.6%73 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Keyd | 20c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Keyd | 40c | 53.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Keyd | 23c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Imperial | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Imperial | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Imperial | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Imperial | 76c | 49.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa490…d542backed Imperial | 64c | 47.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Keyd | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Keyd | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Imperial | 67c | 38.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Keyd | 39c | 36.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Imperial | 79c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Imperial | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Imperial | 64c | 26.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Imperial | 73c | 24.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial | 59c | 17.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Imperial | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.