Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26ed9c1dc439447898a1d3f22855381113ad8fac69fe8099f7eacc5503496c67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof 1win, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $701,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $761,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $701,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 420 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed 1win | 79c | 28,863$22,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,850.12 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 22,416$6,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,186.03 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc1…c26bbacked 1win | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed 1win | 75c | 18,480$13,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,798.25 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vici Gaming | 25c | 17,966$4,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,452.59 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Vici Gaming | 20c | 17,722$3,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,092.85 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked 1win | 75c | 16,262$12,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,233.99 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed 1win | 77c | 14,761$11,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,301.87 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 14,420$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,280.88 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming | 15c | 12,803$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,862.2 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…3c09backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 11,555$6,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,484.47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…e14bbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 11,214$5,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,948.62 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming | 26c | 11,068$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,141.37 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming | 28c | 10,860$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,853.89 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed 1win | 54c | 10,410$5,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,632.8 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 10,000$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,013.32 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Vici Gaming | 25c | 9,572$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,141.71 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked 1win | 73c | 8,980$6,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,519.01 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming | 25c | 8,608$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,456 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 8,066$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,176.18 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Vici Gaming | 24c | 8,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,079.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 7,206$4,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.18 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 6,674$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.56 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Vici Gaming | 24c | 6,526$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,959.76 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed 1win | 74c | 6,462$4,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,813.82 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked 1win | 70c | 6,343$4,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,415.46 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Vici Gaming | 25c | 5,558$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,143.8 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 5,344$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,726.54 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed 1win | 78c | 5,330$4,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.49 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Vici Gaming | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked 1win | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked 1win | 55c | 4,750$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.5 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed 1win | 70c | 4,691$3,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300.69 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked 1win | 1c | 4,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 68c | 4,421$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.98 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed 1win | 26c | 3,785$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed 1win | 71c | 3,726$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.76 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…d607backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 3,535$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.77 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Vici Gaming | 27c | 3,143$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.64 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e2…39a2backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 2,998$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.77 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed 1win | 68c | 2,942$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…00e2backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 2,800$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.62 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed 1win | 7c | 2,774$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.36 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked 1win | 60c | 2,765$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.57 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Vici Gaming | 19c | 2,719$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.96 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed 1win | 75c | 2,700$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…36e7backed 1win | 76c | 2,671$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ee…a16fbacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 2,664$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.2 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc531…73eabacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 2,664$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.97 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed 1win | 71c | 2,650$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.49 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed 1win | 72c | 2,630$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.98 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed 1win | 74c | 2,530$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.2 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 2,515$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.45 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed 1win | 52c | 2,508$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked 1win | 3c | 2,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 2,485$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.1 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Vici Gaming | 24c | 2,471$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.96 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Vici Gaming | 27c | 2,466$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.91 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Vici Gaming | 24c | 2,466$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.82 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 2,300$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 2,299$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.3 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed 1win | 70c | 2,281$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vici Gaming | 14c | 2,166$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.64 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Vici Gaming | 17c | 2,100$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed 1win | 71c | 2,099$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 2,092$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.53 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Vici Gaming | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed 1win | 70c | 1,931$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.08 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Vici Gaming | 14c | 1,920$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.2 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Vici Gaming | 79c | 1,905$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.33 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked 1win | 50c | 1,856$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.6 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vici Gaming | 62c | 1,836$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.4 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,797$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.14 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked 1win | 66c | 1,775$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.61 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 1win | 18c | 1,758$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.89 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed 1win | 64c | 1,746$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.72 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 1,647$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.77 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…8244backed 1win | 66c | 1,621$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.86 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Vici Gaming | 25c | 1,592$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.39 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 1,539$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.59 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked 1win | 68c | 1,536$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.57 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked 1win | 67c | 1,500$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.5 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…f5b0backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 1,500$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed 1win | 42c | 1,491$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.9 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 1,484$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.45 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed 1win | 74c | 1,474$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.94 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed 1win | 69c | 1,428$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.29 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 1,423$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.01 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed 1win | 17c | 1,349$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.33 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed 1win | 78c | 1,286$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Vici Gaming | 25c | 1,283$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.96 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed 1win | 59c | 1,260$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.41 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed 1win | 78c | 1,250$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.62 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 1,241$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.9 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked 1win | 70c | 1,236$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.3 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Vici Gaming | 29c | 1,212$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.98 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed 1win | 80c | 1,206$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.86 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Vici Gaming | 27c | 1,206$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.26 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.