Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28e26710c8791f54f55b9c3629549a06729a43f7b9eafd95a122bd92178f8379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 26,870$7,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,418.4 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…fb57backed 1win | 70c | 24,344$16,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,406.51 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 70c | 18,660$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,660.5 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming | 12c | 16,793$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.99 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Vici Gaming | 21c | 16,765$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.37 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 15,000$4,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,580 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 14,166$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,286.46 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 1win | 68c | 9,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed 1win | 71c | 7,905$5,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.34 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 6,242$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.1 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed 1win | 76c | 6,000$4,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.99 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed 1win | 68c | 5,199$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.65 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Vici Gaming | 2c | 5,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Vici Gaming | 16c | 4,808$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.41 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 1win | 70c | 4,545$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.77 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked 1win | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed 1win | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…7a34backed Vici Gaming | 13c | 2,895$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.91 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 2,579$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.25 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed 1win | 66c | 2,444$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.5 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Vici Gaming | 14c | 2,155$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.67 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 2,038$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.17 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Vici Gaming | 15c | 2,002$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 1,827$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.41 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked 1win | 76c | 1,796$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.27 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 1,750$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.5 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 1,617$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.93 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 1,585$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.6 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked 1win | 71c | 1,438$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.03 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed 1win | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed 1win | 76c | 1,335$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.58 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed 1win | 68c | 1,250$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Vici Gaming | 13c | 1,236$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed 1win | 68c | 1,183$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.52 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Vici Gaming | 29c | 1,085$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.54 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Vici Gaming | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Vici Gaming | 22c | 999.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 976.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 910.74$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.5 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked 1win | 68c | 910$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.83 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Vici Gaming | 28c | 888$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c3bfbacked Vici Gaming | 25c | 850$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.55 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 750$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Vici Gaming | 3c | 733.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed 1win | 68c | 693$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.27 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 612.12$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.76 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed 1win | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed 1win | 69c | 599.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 564.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.67 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…4d3dbacked Vici Gaming | 12c | 504.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Vici Gaming | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Vici Gaming | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…67bbbacked 1win | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 1win | 79c | 477.55$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Vici Gaming | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed 1win | 69c | 451$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.81 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Vici Gaming | 8c | 427.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Vici Gaming | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed 1win | 70c | 390.89$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Vici Gaming | 14c | 371.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed 1win | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 366$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 349.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 345.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 345.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 38.2%91 W · 147 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3a71backed Vici Gaming | 17c | 329.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9bb3backed 1win | 69c | 328$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.68 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 282.11$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked 1win | 69c | 281.94$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked 1win | 78c | 265.23$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vici Gaming | 15c | 253.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe191…2720backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 250.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 235.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Vici Gaming | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…aa85backed 1win | 68c | 230$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed Vici Gaming | 21c | 228.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed 1win | 69c | 214.49$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed 1win | 73c | 202.25$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…0effbacked Vici Gaming | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Vici Gaming | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 175.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 163.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…516bbacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Vici Gaming | 23c | 149.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed 1win | 66c | 147.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked 1win | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 151 | 67.5%102 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…dd67backed 1win | 69c | 138.2$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 66cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed 1win | 70c | 136.6$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed 1win | 67c | 135$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Vici Gaming | 29c | 132.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 122.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 118.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Vici Gaming | 25c | 116.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed 1win | 69c | 111.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked 1win | 70c | 109.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.