Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7446c13b91bf8ece3c07cb6127008ff534ab2853dd3cd31dce5a1452367b461a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof 1win, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,523,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,703,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,523,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 665 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 59c | 166,619$97,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,613.75 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed 1win | 33c | 150,000$49,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,479.1 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 93,729$62,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,930.5 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 50,536$19,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,469.37 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed 1win | 49c | 40,000$19,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,453.74 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 35,639$15,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,753.98 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 35,096$14,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,947.85 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked 1win | 63c | 34,466$21,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,644.32 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 30,044$11,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,786.44 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed 1win | 57c | 23,387$13,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,333.36 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.98 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked 1win | 21c | 16,304$3,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 15,885$6,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,284.02 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…fb57backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 15,848$6,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,904 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 15,710$6,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,268.78 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed 1win | 55c | 15,555$8,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,553.12 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 15,456$6,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,118.97 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 14,853$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,007.13 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed 1win | 23c | 14,691$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420.33 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 14,605$9,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,426.94 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 1win | 25c | 13,578$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.93 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe865…0b11backed 1win | 68c | 13,521$9,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,239.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked 1win | 60c | 13,331$7,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,995.48 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 12,636$4,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,359.06 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Vici Gaming | 68c | 11,546$7,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.24 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked 1win | 57c | 10,447$5,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,909.8 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 9,545$5,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,812.61 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…8244backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 9,136$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,113.12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 9,028$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,231.07 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…ab9ebacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 8,451$3,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,704.93 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed Vici Gaming | 65c | 8,343$5,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.33 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 8,177$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,844.44 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 8,032$5,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.59 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 1win | 64c | 7,812$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.72 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Vici Gaming | 61c | 7,759$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.99 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 7,414$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,274.08 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 7,291$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.82 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 7,284$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,383.09 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 7,200$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,248 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked 1win | 61c | 7,182$4,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,362.06 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 7,171$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,070.82 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 7,051$4,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.9 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 6,991$3,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.26 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 6,738$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.67 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed 1win | 52c | 6,720$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,504.4 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed 1win | 49c | 6,574$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206.71 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Vici Gaming | 64c | 6,179$3,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.14 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 6,162$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.37 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Vici Gaming | 66c | 6,088$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.54 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.99 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 5,905$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.34 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed 1win | 56c | 5,764$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.05 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed 1win | 52c | 5,544$2,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.84 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 5,387$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.72 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked 1win | 51c | 5,330$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.35 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 5,250$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked 1win | 58c | 5,247$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.54 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 5,070$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.29 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed 1win | 60c | 5,034$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.99 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked 1win | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed 1win | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.99 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed 1win | 59c | 4,970$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.69 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed 1win | 5c | 4,800$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.3 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed 1win | 65c | 4,649$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.16 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked 1win | 2c | 4,640$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 4,448$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.53 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked 1win | 69c | 4,207$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.7 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed 1win | 70c | 4,000$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.72 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 3,957$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.97 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed 1win | 13c | 3,930$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.3 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 3,900$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.35 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…af49backed 1win | 59c | 3,747$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed 1win | 35c | 3,669$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.74 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed 1win | 59c | 3,559$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 3,447$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.32 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed 1win | 65c | 3,267$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.58 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 1win | 42c | 3,222$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.21 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 3,218$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.96 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked 1win | 65c | 3,198$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.78 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Vici Gaming | 43c | 3,170$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.83 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 3,167$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.05 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 3,063$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.5 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 3,048$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.31 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 3,021$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.28 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked 1win | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked 1win | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.98 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 2,994$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.3 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 2,965$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.69 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 2,964$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.75 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked 1win | 68c | 2,940$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 2,850$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.5 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 2,780$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.74 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc531…73eabacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 2,775$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.36 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 2,746$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.66 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 2,714$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.51 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…e14bbacked 1win | 43c | 2,708$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.69 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 2,696$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.6 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.