Token Launches · resolved market
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70de1b06646805d289744df352ed58b5612fafb3d0322e483243c32cb110f8a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,899,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,007,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,899,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed No | 1c | 4,599,769$47,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,123.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 0c | 2,477,169$7,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,083.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b4…61f9backed No | 1c | 2,000,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…fe3cbacked No | 1c | 1,463,929$8,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,295.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…ecd0backed No | 1c | 1,285,399$10,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,976.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 1c | 1,254,898$9,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,180.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0488…bab2backed No | 2c | 965,315$14,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,726.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…1656backed No | 1c | 962,946$6,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,116.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…b77cbacked No | 1c | 949,517$8,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,406.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda6…9b40backed No | 1c | 917,226$10,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,010.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d59…133dbacked No | 1c | 831,275$6,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,456.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…b5f3backed No | 1c | 767,127$8,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,149.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…6f08backed No | 2c | 670,938$16,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,007.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67e…35e0backed No | 1c | 633,287$4,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,478.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…ae5bbacked No | 1c | 559,638$7,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,917.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b2…15b5backed No | 1c | 544,601$5,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,988.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 3c | 503,823$14,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,726.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…4d25backed No | 1c | 501,591$5,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,020 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc389…7212backed No | 1c | 479,928$5,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,113.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe640…c151backed No | 1c | 458,525$5,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,242.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked No | 1c | 446,800$5,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,718.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1e…04d0backed No | 2c | 436,867$10,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,006.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…c141backed No | 1c | 417,211$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed No | 1c | 399,932$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…9aa7backed No | 1c | 395,696$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606e…f3bebacked No | 1c | 390,703$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…148bbacked No | 44c | 379,456$165,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,878.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4443…d207backed No | 1c | 372,568$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…2538backed Yes | 76c | 339,828$259,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,885.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19de…fb52backed No | 3c | 334,407$10,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,232.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed No | 1c | 333,136$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…1d5dbacked No | 1c | 329,989$3,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,511.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed No | 4c | 320,925$11,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,684.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…bc71backed No | 1c | 316,405$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 74c | 309,945$230,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,098.13 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…2a34backed No | 1c | 302,300$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…e8a3backed No | 1c | 294,850$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…6ff9backed No | 1c | 289,693$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0831…dce1backed No | 1c | 281,589$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…f374backed No | 1c | 277,344$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c15…8b65backed No | 2c | 275,314$5,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,681 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 2c | 271,228$4,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,804.45 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 6cpaid | +170%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7683…3300backed No | 1c | 249,981$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9613…ddb4backed No | 1c | 249,927$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9636…b7b7backed No | 1c | 233,699$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7b…582cbacked No | 1c | 225,022$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…928fbacked No | 1c | 220,811$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 1c | 217,562$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.26 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…3e55backed No | 3c | 213,349$5,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,577.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…4076backed No | 2c | 207,267$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…cf40backed No | 1c | 207,068$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…00c7backed No | 1c | 200,275$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…31e6backed No | 1c | 189,278$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8e…7d58backed No | 1c | 188,984$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6843…fedcbacked No | 1c | 186,784$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ef…19ddbacked No | 1c | 186,581$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…2bbbbacked No | 1c | 184,788$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8b…4b24backed No | 2c | 184,169$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…8540backed No | 1c | 182,087$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…f792backed No | 1c | 181,578$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566d…d47dbacked No | 1c | 179,449$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ea…a907backed No | 2c | 177,412$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…719ebacked No | 1c | 175,415$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7c…14b0backed No | 1c | 172,854$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…a205backed No | 1c | 169,858$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…8a96backed No | 1c | 167,940$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…b0b8backed No | 1c | 162,999$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…bb43backed No | 1c | 156,625$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…de19backed No | 1c | 155,756$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…dcd2backed No | 1c | 150,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…772bbacked No | 1c | 149,969$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54dd…1d0fbacked No | 1c | 144,481$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dab…e5d0backed No | 1c | 144,076$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3c…8f25backed No | 1c | 143,117$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.22 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76e2…7784backed No | 1c | 142,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9c…4c5fbacked No | 2c | 142,691$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 1c | 141,947$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…6398backed No | 1c | 141,327$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…0c15backed No | 1c | 138,794$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.19 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 1c | 138,734$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7f5cbacked No | 1c | 137,455$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…2980backed No | 34c | 136,393$46,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,836.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…4464backed No | 0c | 134,031$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…b024backed No | 1c | 132,500$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef11…276abacked No | 1c | 132,333$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1438…e114backed Yes | 53c | 128,931$68,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,793.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed No | 2c | 128,632$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ec…dfdebacked No | 2c | 125,365$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…78d7backed No | 1c | 125,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da1…7086backed No | 1c | 123,926$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5352…78aabacked No | 1c | 121,356$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c2…8ce6backed No | 1c | 118,587$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…fe5bbacked No | 2c | 118,244$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e88…4c93backed No | 1c | 117,098$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…322dbacked No | 2c | 116,797$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc3…6cf2backed No | 1c | 114,085$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…221dbacked Yes | 56c | 114,063$64,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,049.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c5…6383backed No | 1c | 112,045$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…3610backed No | 1c | 110,000$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 64c | 109,385$70,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,199.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.