Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb659e6505a847f578b31814f4cc241aba23f9dfe751fbb09d54b0661e0ca17d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $396,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $447,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 19c | 46,337$8,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,711.32 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 31,129$22,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,652.16 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed MOUZ | 21c | 22,552$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845.4 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ | 20c | 18,416$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,712.51 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 79c | 17,061$13,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.77 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed MOUZ | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked MOUZ | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION | 78c | 9,750$7,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 78c | 8,449$6,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.47 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked MOUZ | 23c | 8,348$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.76 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed PARIVISION | 79c | 8,000$6,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.4 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 20c | 7,689$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.15 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 21c | 7,633$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.33 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ | 22c | 7,475$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.5 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 14c | 6,060$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.22 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed PARIVISION | 72c | 5,397$3,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.87 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked MOUZ | 20c | 5,000$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.83 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 74c | 4,319$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.88 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…ea85backed MOUZ | 14c | 4,103$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.79 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed PARIVISION | 71c | 3,989$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.45 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 80c | 3,500$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed MOUZ | 24c | 3,500$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.33 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked MOUZ | 22c | 3,477$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.32 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed MOUZ | 19c | 3,302$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.45 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed MOUZ | 18c | 3,293$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.44 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ | 21c | 3,080$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.85 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed MOUZ | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 24c | 2,989$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.83 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked MOUZ | 36c | 2,794$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed MOUZ | 5c | 2,667$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked PARIVISION | 77c | 2,616$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.64 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PARIVISION | 79c | 2,597$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.94 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed PARIVISION | 79c | 2,535$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.99 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 25c | 2,274$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.18 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed MOUZ | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 1,963$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.01 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked MOUZ | 17c | 1,945$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.81 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 20c | 1,921$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.61 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked MOUZ | 30c | 1,902$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.29 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked PARIVISION | 79c | 1,834$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.37 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed MOUZ | 27c | 1,755$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.28 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 1,750$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.5 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed PARIVISION | 72c | 1,750$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 1,721$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.93 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed MOUZ | 18c | 1,671$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 23c | 1,655$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.76 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed MOUZ | 21c | 1,644$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.39 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed PARIVISION | 77c | 1,500$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed PARIVISION | 79c | 1,462$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.12 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked MOUZ | 19c | 1,413$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.49 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed PARIVISION | 73c | 1,394$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.37 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed MOUZ | 26c | 1,366$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed PARIVISION | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ | 19c | 1,255$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.78 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa5…05bbbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 1,251$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.62 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…dfefbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed MOUZ | 20c | 1,218$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.47 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 27c | 1,215$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.14 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,180$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.05 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 1,156$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.64 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed PARIVISION | 71c | 1,121$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.15 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked PARIVISION | 80c | 1,070$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.91 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed PARIVISION | 79c | 1,052$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.98 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked MOUZ | 25c | 1,039$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.74 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed PARIVISION | 75c | 1,031$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.67 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,004$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.2 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed PARIVISION | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed PARIVISION | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed PARIVISION | 76c | 999.99$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed PARIVISION | 78c | 999.98$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION | 76c | 995$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.97 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 23c | 982.8$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.43 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 16c | 956.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ | 19c | 941$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.79 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ | 32c | 939.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed MOUZ | 16c | 905.69$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.62 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed PARIVISION | 74c | 860.46$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.18 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed PARIVISION | 78c | 836.99$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed MOUZ | 26c | 830$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ | 21c | 807.61$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.96 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked MOUZ | 22c | 805.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ | 23c | 754.55$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed PARIVISION | 79c | 744.51$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.24 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…58afbacked MOUZ | 26c | 733.71$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked MOUZ | 16c | 720$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 703.87$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.1 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked PARIVISION | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed PARIVISION | 72c | 698.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.51 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed MOUZ | 34c | 645$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed PARIVISION | 78c | 641.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.41 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PARIVISION | 79c | 641.03$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…2ef4backed MOUZ | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed MOUZ | 27c | 621.3$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ | 21c | 606.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed PARIVISION | 79c | 576$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ | 2c | 569.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 561.42$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.7 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group CPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.