Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8f024fa7a052d22433bc823d1b5fa6351f126c914e85515cebced1a58cf872e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $709,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $748,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $709,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed PARIVISION | 76c | 111,630$84,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,848.32 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 104,625$25,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,587.56 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 80,000$64,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…fec3backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 51,166$10,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,324.03 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 27,236$6,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,502.54 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 23,539$4,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,148.44 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 23,455$5,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,437 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked PARIVISION | 80c | 18,057$14,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.39 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 18,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 16,169$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.66 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 76c | 15,789$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.47 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 15,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 13,050$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.13 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 12,614$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.9 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Rune Eaters | 17c | 12,353$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 12,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Rune Eaters | 19c | 11,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.67 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Rune Eaters | 25c | 10,064$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed PARIVISION | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 9,834$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.14 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 79c | 8,414$6,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.58 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 8,000$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.68 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed PARIVISION | 79c | 7,114$5,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.73 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 6,092$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.03 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 5,967$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.78 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Rune Eaters | 14c | 5,773$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.16 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 5,447$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.43 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked PARIVISION | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 4,934$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.73 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed PARIVISION | 75c | 4,689$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.25 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 4,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked Rune Eaters | 19c | 4,300$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.99 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Rune Eaters | 3c | 4,200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 4,095$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.15 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Rune Eaters | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 3,850$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…0cd0backed PARIVISION | 80c | 3,650$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Rune Eaters | 9c | 3,600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.44 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 3,472$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.96 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Rune Eaters | 15c | 3,332$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.83 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 3,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 2,840$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.49 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabac…879cbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 2,775$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed PARIVISION | 77c | 2,750$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.5 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 2,678$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.34 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Rune Eaters | 19c | 2,508$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.06 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 2,488$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.41 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd016…6114backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 2,470$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 2,416$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.43 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 2,357$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.84 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 2,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…518cbacked Rune Eaters | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed PARIVISION | 80c | 1,923$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.42 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 1,914$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.36 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 1,884$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.55 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 1,855$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.04 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Rune Eaters | 1c | 1,785$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 1,766$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 1,750$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.13 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 1,675$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.56 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 1,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…d931backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 1,597$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.54 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked PARIVISION | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Rune Eaters | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,496$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.63 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Rune Eaters | 16c | 1,493$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.69 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,488$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.16 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 1,389$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rune Eaters | 8c | 1,386$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.11 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e81…8b41backed Rune Eaters | 11c | 1,376$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ee…a16fbacked Rune Eaters | 12c | 1,368$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.52 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 1,365$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.91 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Rune Eaters | 15c | 1,363$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.38 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,323$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.46 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed PARIVISION | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Rune Eaters | 16c | 1,240$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.47 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 1,131$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.63 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…e14bbacked Rune Eaters | 19c | 1,111$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.09 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked PARIVISION | 80c | 1,014$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.79 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…fe0bbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 970$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.9 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 913.52$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.97 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed PARIVISION | 80c | 912.68$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.31 | 192 | 60.4%116 W · 76 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 903.87$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.77 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 899.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 17c | 852.65$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 499 | 52.9%264 W · 235 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed PARIVISION | 76c | 820$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5d…3686backed Rune Eaters | 2c | 819.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 812.06$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.1 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 757$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.74 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Rune Eaters | 26c | 754.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c3bfbacked Rune Eaters | 19c | 750$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 746.02$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 238 | 38.2%91 W · 147 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.