Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe24456ed10ef1f98147cc0bd7e7894ce03d9c3d972cd678cf007ab0328e73072
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 34,208$4,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,171.73 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Rune Eaters | 11c | 25,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 17,614$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.68 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…0ee6backed Rune Eaters | 4c | 10,400$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Rune Eaters | 13c | 8,299$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.15 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rune Eaters | 10c | 7,688$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.32 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Rune Eaters | 11c | 7,456$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.7 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Rune Eaters | 6c | 7,199$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.96 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Rune Eaters | 12c | 6,717$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.07 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Rune Eaters | 9c | 6,286$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.69 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Rune Eaters | 13c | 5,713$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Rune Eaters | 4c | 4,593$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.12 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 4,038$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.57 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Rune Eaters | 5c | 3,856$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.81 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Rune Eaters | 13c | 3,198$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.74 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Rune Eaters | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.01 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Rune Eaters | 8c | 2,003$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.1 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Rune Eaters | 10c | 2,000$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 1,933$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.96 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Rune Eaters | 10c | 1,666$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.15 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Rune Eaters | 15c | 1,662$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.25 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Rune Eaters | 4c | 1,400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…7ecfbacked Rune Eaters | 14c | 1,331$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.39 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Rune Eaters | 5c | 1,059$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…ab9ebacked Rune Eaters | 12c | 1,040$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Rune Eaters | 4c | 915.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…53d1backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 914.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Rune Eaters | 12c | 849.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…dfefbacked Rune Eaters | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…9cb5backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 682.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Rune Eaters | 14c | 678.16$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Rune Eaters | 12c | 657.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 656$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Rune Eaters | 13c | 600.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…111abacked Rune Eaters | 6c | 600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Rune Eaters | 11c | 597.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 436 | 49.1%214 W · 222 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Rune Eaters | 12c | 589.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…25abbacked Rune Eaters | 14c | 554.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Rune Eaters | 11c | 525.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Rune Eaters | 7c | 505.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Rune Eaters | 11c | 500.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Rune Eaters | 10c | 500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Rune Eaters | 11c | 500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rune Eaters | 8c | 491$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Rune Eaters | 14c | 472$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Rune Eaters | 11c | 427.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…2a0dbacked Rune Eaters | 12c | 421$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7251…4a60backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Rune Eaters | 9c | 401$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 435 | 60.5%263 W · 172 L | +43.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e79…1763backed Rune Eaters | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 11c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b9…c411backed Rune Eaters | 14c | 369.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Rune Eaters | 11c | 363.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4aa…f861backed Rune Eaters | 13c | 356.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Rune Eaters | 9c | 317.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Rune Eaters | 5c | 280$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…20a2backed Rune Eaters | 10c | 262.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…668ebacked Rune Eaters | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…c44ebacked Rune Eaters | 11c | 243.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Rune Eaters | 13c | 228.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rune Eaters | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 583 | 46.3%270 W · 313 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…737abacked Rune Eaters | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Rune Eaters | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed Rune Eaters | 13c | 186.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…4e25backed Rune Eaters | 8c | 176.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Rune Eaters | 13c | 172.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f1…4ea8backed Rune Eaters | 9c | 157.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…89adbacked Rune Eaters | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…36a9backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Rune Eaters | 10c | 118$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…76e4backed Rune Eaters | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…192ebacked Rune Eaters | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 104.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Rune Eaters | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 252 | 38.9%98 W · 154 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f6…75c7backed Rune Eaters | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 535 | 33.8%181 W · 354 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…eb52backed Rune Eaters | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a05…1c7abacked Rune Eaters | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 13cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.