TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e79…1763

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+151.8%+$147.14
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$36.2
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$56.92
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.52
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.53
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$80.73
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.87
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.58
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$62.75
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.33
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$67.69
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$20.74
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$28.3
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Myth Esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked Myth Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+322.2%+$644.47
LoL: G2 NORD vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$78.03
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: ZennIT vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked ZennIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$107.7
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$48.7
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$26.14
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Mindfreak (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group Abacked Abyssal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked Guara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$174.21
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Guara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$90.42
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Cbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$77.45
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.76
Valorant: TYLOO vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.56
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$92.73
Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$183.9
Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 Winnerbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$41.03
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+130.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana Fever (-3.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$14.76
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 180.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+223.3%+$66.98
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.