CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f4084e90c6745ce2417523f0e6313ef9979b65db619deb3d71d69a0268f510b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIA Academyof BESTIA Academy, Guara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked BESTIA Academy | 68c | 6,298$4,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.87 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Guara Esports | 29c | 1,932$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.88 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Guara Esports | 32c | 1,651$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.05 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Guara Esports | 30c | 1,113$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.98 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Guara Esports | 19c | 856.86$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.62 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guara Esports | 17c | 785.12$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.47 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4856…3c6dbacked BESTIA Academy | 80c | 714.94$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Guara Esports | 19c | 681.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guara Esports | 34c | 634.97$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.46 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed BESTIA Academy | 76c | 630$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Guara Esports | 18c | 617.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Guara Esports | 31c | 606.59$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.04 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Guara Esports | 31c | 606.59$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.04 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed BESTIA Academy | 70c | 435.31$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.59 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Guara Esports | 31c | 403.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Guara Esports | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed BESTIA Academy | 76c | 332.97$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Guara Esports | 34c | 306.79$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e79…1763backed BESTIA Academy | 68c | 285.67$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Guara Esports | 17c | 278.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Guara Esports | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Guara Esports | 22c | 219.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Guara Esports | 19c | 210.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Guara Esports | 29c | 210.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BESTIA Academy | 72c | 208$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Guara Esports | 25c | 200.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA Academy | 71c | 193.67$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Guara Esports | 27c | 176.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…dcd0backed BESTIA Academy | 70c | 164$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked BESTIA Academy | 67c | 137.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed BESTIA Academy | 71c | 130.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Guara Esports | 37c | 122.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…23b4backed BESTIA Academy | 62c | 112.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Guara Esports | 26c | 111.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Guara Esports | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Guara Esports | 27c | 104.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Guara Esports | 25c | 103.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked BESTIA Academy | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640e…66c1backed Guara Esports | 20c | 97.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Guara Esports | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked BESTIA Academy | 79c | 70.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed BESTIA Academy | 75c | 68.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed BESTIA Academy | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed BESTIA Academy | 64c | 66.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Guara Esports | 20c | 61.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed BESTIA Academy | 72c | 61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Guara Esports | 23c | 60.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…b948backed BESTIA Academy | 78c | 55.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ac…1694backed Guara Esports | 33c | 54.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Guara Esports | 30c | 50.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked Guara Esports | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed BESTIA Academy | 77c | 45.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Guara Esports | 35c | 45.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked BESTIA Academy | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Guara Esports | 35c | 43.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Guara Esports | 38c | 42.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed BESTIA Academy | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Guara Esports | 36c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Guara Esports | 37c | 39.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BESTIA Academy | 72c | 36.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked BESTIA Academy | 67c | 35.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed BESTIA Academy | 75c | 31.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked BESTIA Academy | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed BESTIA Academy | 68c | 29.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked BESTIA Academy | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed BESTIA Academy | 71c | 25.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed BESTIA Academy | 69c | 24.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed BESTIA Academy | 78c | 24.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StageBESTIA Academy won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BST.A (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)BESTIA Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.