CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd27aaf15dba986b0e0641429d722dbf6e2abc4ed1d28ea11ae0e9b72ee41f990
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 38c | 963.21$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.48 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 38c | 769.2$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.3 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 39c | 565.32$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.81 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Under | 62c | 512.5$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.75 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 61c | 500.77$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.77 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 62c | 359.41$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 62c | 279.38$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.19 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Over | 35c | 250.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Under | 65c | 204.84$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 61c | 152.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 62c | 113.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 62c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Under | 62c | 48.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4465…db2fbacked Under | 62c | 48.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Under | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StageBESTIA Academy won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA Academy won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA Academy won
- Map Handicap: BST.A (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)BESTIA Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.