CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: BST.A (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1615ef833abc2f85e9cf6119c0c21ea5e7fdb1b58cd8cc9c54eacd7cfa51c9e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIA Academyof BESTIA Academy, Guara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked BESTIA Academy | 59c | 9,009$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649.6 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Guara Esports | 42c | 5,499$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.42 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Guara Esports | 41c | 2,156$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.55 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Guara Esports | 42c | 959.41$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.94 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Guara Esports | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed BESTIA Academy | 57c | 535.89$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.83 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed BESTIA Academy | 54c | 485.87$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.06 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Guara Esports | 40c | 385.42$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BESTIA Academy | 56c | 324$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.7 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Guara Esports | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Guara Esports | 43c | 300$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed BESTIA Academy | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked BESTIA Academy | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Guara Esports | 42c | 139.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Guara Esports | 39c | 118$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Guara Esports | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed BESTIA Academy | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…d60bbacked BESTIA Academy | 57c | 99.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Guara Esports | 43c | 99.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Guara Esports | 42c | 94.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Guara Esports | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Guara Esports | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Guara Esports | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…4982backed BESTIA Academy | 63c | 86.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Guara Esports | 43c | 83.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guara Esports | 45c | 83.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Guara Esports | 41c | 71.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Guara Esports | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Guara Esports | 40c | 64.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed BESTIA Academy | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed BESTIA Academy | 55c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Guara Esports | 42c | 47.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed BESTIA Academy | 54c | 24.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked BESTIA Academy | 55c | 20.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed BESTIA Academy | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BST.A (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StageBESTIA Academy won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA Academy won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.