CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa27584217d4fc3a76aa85a5dfafcf8956ef8e890fa44133233388ce2a63587b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIA Academyof BESTIA Academy, Guara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Guara Esports | 29c | 1,350$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Guara Esports | 14c | 582.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked BESTIA Academy | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BESTIA Academy | 77c | 413.06$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Guara Esports | 25c | 409.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…4179backed BESTIA Academy | 79c | 378.79$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.78 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BESTIA Academy | 72c | 283.81$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed BESTIA Academy | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed BESTIA Academy | 73c | 250$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…2897backed BESTIA Academy | 77c | 227.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fff…bb71backed Guara Esports | 26c | 226.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Guara Esports | 26c | 225.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed BESTIA Academy | 71c | 179.1$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guara Esports | 30c | 173.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Guara Esports | 31c | 152.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed BESTIA Academy | 71c | 130.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Guara Esports | 23c | 130.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Guara Esports | 13c | 114.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked BESTIA Academy | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e79…1763backed Guara Esports | 15c | 97.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked BESTIA Academy | 75c | 96.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked BESTIA Academy | 74c | 94.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 108 | 67.6%73 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…718fbacked Guara Esports | 22c | 92.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed Guara Esports | 28c | 90.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed BESTIA Academy | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BESTIA Academy | 72c | 43.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed BESTIA Academy | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BESTIA Academy | 72c | 29.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked BESTIA Academy | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…cd83backed BESTIA Academy | 74c | 20.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed BESTIA Academy | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked BESTIA Academy | 71c | 14.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StageBESTIA Academy won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BST.A (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)BESTIA Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.