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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Mindfreak (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mindfreakof Abyssal, Mindfreak
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,628
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,925

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,628 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde24…e804backed Abyssal27c2,547$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6755935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mindfreak48c1,732$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.211,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Mindfreak25c1,635$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.321030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e79…1763backed Abyssal52c1,199$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Abyssal63c1,179$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.245,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc28f…6193backed Mindfreak43c1,108$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.511354.9%62 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mindfreak50c1,104$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.217,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Abyssal14c1,076$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9929948.8%146 W · 153 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Mindfreak54c1,062$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.3343253%229 W · 203 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Abyssal75c999.98$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.988964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed Abyssal68c666.12$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4508361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Mindfreak42c588.42$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.824,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mindfreak49c539.97$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.451,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ab…4103backed Mindfreak78c514.47$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.762272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb400…78e2backed Mindfreak79c480.51$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.917060%42 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x056b…303ebacked Abyssal47c470.59$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.125650%28 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Abyssal44c458.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Mindfreak31c427.06$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.6622449.6%111 W · 113 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Abyssal58c401.55$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23235848%172 W · 186 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Mindfreak30c381.85$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.5625634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Abyssal47c336.88$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.584,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Mindfreak31c326.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.286939.1%27 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Mindfreak26c311$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.1426147.1%123 W · 138 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed Abyssal80c251.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005766.7%38 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339b…d889backed Abyssal63c236.71$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.051353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x180a…bd66backed Abyssal57c216.87$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6716355.2%90 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Abyssal68c208.23$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7727831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Mindfreak62c205.33$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.15749.1%28 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Abyssal50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029156.7%165 W · 126 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed Abyssal76c194.67$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.413258.3%77 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Mindfreak27c186$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7839944.1%176 W · 223 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Abyssal64c175.17$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.772,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Mindfreak51c170.5$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3589046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a80…df6dbacked Abyssal59c170.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010867.6%73 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Abyssal64c157.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Mindfreak49c145.9$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9320745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39a9…c69ebacked Mindfreak30c131.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.472835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked Mindfreak21c126.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.836434.1%124 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…3c88backed Mindfreak78c121.79$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.791163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe224…4907backed Abyssal64c120.55$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Mindfreak26c117.37$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3412748%61 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Mindfreak42c108.33$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.491,32544.1%584 W · 741 L+44.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Mindfreak60c106.28$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5116343.6%71 W · 92 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf11a…1002backed Mindfreak49c102$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0228048.6%136 W · 144 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Mindfreak25c100.87$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2880740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Abyssal46c99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5419643.4%85 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcede…e6c9backed Abyssal63c96.78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.675170.6%36 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfef6…1f30backed Mindfreak52c95.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Mindfreak64c95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Abyssal65c89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8519762.9%124 W · 73 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Mindfreak36c87.35$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0326648.5%129 W · 137 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Abyssal24c87.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1121623.6%51 W · 165 L-27.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-39.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Mindfreak34c87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.421,04153.1%553 W · 488 L+63.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Abyssal68c73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3440558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Mindfreak32c71.68$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.845,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Mindfreak49c71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2147856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa01a…3aeebacked Abyssal63c70.1$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.863240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Mindfreak34c68.38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.096,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe54…c928backed Abyssal26c67.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.641637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85af…c5ffbacked Abyssal26c67.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.39137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick29cpaid-82.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Abyssal55c65.9$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2424260.3%146 W · 96 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Abyssal78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Mindfreak47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8310855.6%60 W · 48 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Abyssal77c62.69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Abyssal54c59.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.680741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c79…ddf6backed Abyssal52c58.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.718664%55 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Mindfreak39c56.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8713871%98 W · 40 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x696a…823bbacked Mindfreak66c54.74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.745362.3%33 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Abyssal53c50.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.822,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Abyssal36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841950.1%210 W · 209 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ee…0439backed Mindfreak36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329748.5%47 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x382c…2261backed Abyssal65c49.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.495862.1%36 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed Abyssal60c48.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2928052.9%148 W · 132 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Mindfreak51c46.61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0621251.9%110 W · 102 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed Abyssal54c45.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5821346.9%100 W · 113 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Abyssal60c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0540666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5edf…7139backed Mindfreak68c44.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.313056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Abyssal69c43.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021159.7%126 W · 85 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Abyssal72c43.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314369.8%30 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Abyssal67c41.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2819658.2%114 W · 82 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91ca…a3dfbacked Abyssal55c41.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.783842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a9…96b5backed Abyssal65c39.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05dd…c224backed Mindfreak45c38.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb43…f25dbacked Mindfreak55c35.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Mindfreak50c35.11$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4441853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cb5…819abacked Abyssal46c31.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7212051.7%62 W · 58 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Abyssal70c31.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3772645.6%331 W · 395 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cd…2589backed Abyssal66c30.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed Abyssal63c30.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1932054.4%174 W · 146 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed Mindfreak62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.416256.8%92 W · 70 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7dc…4f6ebacked Mindfreak54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.83652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Mindfreak40c27.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.322,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Abyssal73c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7317959.8%107 W · 72 L+0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Abyssal70c25.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8412937.2%48 W · 81 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Mindfreak49c24.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5324558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Mindfreak58c24.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.191,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Mindfreak51c23.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4836856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Abyssal66c22.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0638259.7%228 W · 154 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Abyssal62c21.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5768147%320 W · 361 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf08e…1256backed Abyssal56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.