TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34ab…4103

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.82
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.88
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.27
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$68.94
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked DENDELE CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$308
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Abacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Privateer Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Privateer Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Red Feet - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$59.54
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.87
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$61.68
Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$47.64
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.22
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$169.62
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$87.94
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winnerbacked Grêmio Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$108.35
Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$119.69
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$73.89
Counter-Strike: EAC Rising vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked EAC Rising · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$154.44
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.35
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$82.77
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Mindfreak (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group Abacked Mindfreak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$113.76
All 22 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.93
Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$93.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$318.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.