CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfd5b7b0298e0dd24f69b7fdb4997606b8b69a7c3c74a30c0e746656757b28d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NEW VISIONof QUAZAR, NEW VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed QUAZAR | 24c | 3,535$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.24 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed QUAZAR | 41c | 2,094$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.08 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked NEW VISION | 64c | 1,600$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.94 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed QUAZAR | 18c | 1,061$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.72 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed NEW VISION | 59c | 809.51$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.9 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed QUAZAR | 33c | 700.28$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.22 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed NEW VISION | 38c | 473.87$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.8 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked QUAZAR | 42c | 388.72$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed NEW VISION | 57c | 348.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.36 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked NEW VISION | 66c | 315.67$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked QUAZAR | 17c | 305.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed QUAZAR | 39c | 266.65$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked QUAZAR | 20c | 236.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NEW VISION | 62c | 189.43$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked NEW VISION | 57c | 187.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked QUAZAR | 43c | 182.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed NEW VISION | 40c | 178.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.01 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked QUAZAR | 41c | 170$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed QUAZAR | 42c | 141.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eff…fb57backed NEW VISION | 59c | 137.72$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed QUAZAR | 42c | 132$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked NEW VISION | 34c | 129.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed NEW VISION | 39c | 129.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…c725backed NEW VISION | 56c | 116.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed QUAZAR | 14c | 115$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed QUAZAR | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…4a62backed QUAZAR | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NEW VISION | 37c | 92.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed NEW VISION | 28c | 92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked NEW VISION | 58c | 85.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed NEW VISION | 65c | 70.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked QUAZAR | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed QUAZAR | 23c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed NEW VISION | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked NEW VISION | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb785…b8ecbacked NEW VISION | 56c | 47.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked NEW VISION | 64c | 45.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed QUAZAR | 71c | 44.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NEW VISION | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NEW VISION | 65c | 41.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…1211backed NEW VISION | 56c | 35.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NEW VISION | 66c | 33.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NEW VISION | 60c | 31.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked QUAZAR | 34c | 30.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed QUAZAR | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dc…c8ffbacked NEW VISION | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…c19bbacked NEW VISION | 71c | 28.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NEW VISION | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed NEW VISION | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4103backed NEW VISION | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked NEW VISION | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed NEW VISION | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Play-InNEW VISION won
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION - Map 1 WinnerNEW VISION won
- Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)NEW VISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.