CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11d0d3b7717b1871069144c0e4c3f62360085be87bfbae0e29c24f07cc87999b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NEW VISIONof QUAZAR, NEW VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9279…4748backed NEW VISION | 59c | 3,774$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.01 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed QUAZAR | 41c | 3,418$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.17 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked QUAZAR | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed QUAZAR | 36c | 700$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.53 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked NEW VISION | 59c | 683.54$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.47 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed QUAZAR | 38c | 634.01$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.33 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed NEW VISION | 37c | 540.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NEW VISION | 63c | 396.57$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.57 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed NEW VISION | 53c | 376.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.35 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked QUAZAR | 43c | 359.48$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.29 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed QUAZAR | 36c | 350.39$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…78e2backed NEW VISION | 78c | 320.13$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.27 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked NEW VISION | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked NEW VISION | 60c | 279.41$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NEW VISION | 61c | 242.06$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.78 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…a687backed NEW VISION | 70c | 215.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NEW VISION | 38c | 203.85$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.02 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked QUAZAR | 57c | 195.71$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked QUAZAR | 42c | 162.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed QUAZAR | 43c | 149$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed NEW VISION | 28c | 105$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NEW VISION | 40c | 101$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked QUAZAR | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked NEW VISION | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed NEW VISION | 33c | 97.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked QUAZAR | 16c | 96.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed NEW VISION | 71c | 96.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked QUAZAR | 67c | 91.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…5f0ebacked NEW VISION | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed QUAZAR | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed NEW VISION | 64c | 70.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed QUAZAR | 51c | 55.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NEW VISION | 33c | 52.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed QUAZAR | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed QUAZAR | 43c | 43.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed QUAZAR | 71c | 43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…473ebacked QUAZAR | 39c | 38.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NEW VISION | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed QUAZAR | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51dc…c8ffbacked QUAZAR | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NEW VISION | 63c | 30.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NEW VISION | 58c | 25.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed QUAZAR | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked QUAZAR | 67c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked NEW VISION | 51c | 20.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…1b3abacked NEW VISION | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked NEW VISION | 70c | 19.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked QUAZAR | 59c | 19.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Play-InNEW VISION won
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION - Map 2 WinnerNEW VISION won
- Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)NEW VISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.