CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Privateer Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87366647a5ca312480542a8916317bea8dfc03777a3cb6685eaca482287aed45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof megoshort, Privateer Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked megoshort | 53c | 2,500$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.01 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed megoshort | 39c | 1,645$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.56 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed megoshort | 50c | 1,248$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.06 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed megoshort | 46c | 963.28$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.71 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Privateer Gaming | 51c | 843.89$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.39 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Privateer Gaming | 66c | 834.71$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.88 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…01c5backed megoshort | 58c | 821.19$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.69 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Privateer Gaming | 50c | 776.93$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.2 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Privateer Gaming | 51c | 770$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.89 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Privateer Gaming | 60c | 540.43$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed megoshort | 42c | 516.97$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.66 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Privateer Gaming | 57c | 411.92$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.08 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Privateer Gaming | 47c | 365.15$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.31 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4103backed Privateer Gaming | 70c | 356.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed megoshort | 51c | 350$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.52 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked megoshort | 53c | 336$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.94 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked megoshort | 43c | 331.89$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.95 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked megoshort | 47c | 314.8$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.97 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Privateer Gaming | 42c | 234.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed megoshort | 30c | 234.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.84 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Privateer Gaming | 16c | 215$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Privateer Gaming | 57c | 198.92$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked megoshort | 38c | 196.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.46 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Privateer Gaming | 46c | 173.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Privateer Gaming | 45c | 149.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Privateer Gaming | 50c | 134.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Privateer Gaming | 52c | 129$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Privateer Gaming | 51c | 127$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked megoshort | 47c | 116.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Privateer Gaming | 52c | 107.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed megoshort | 52c | 95.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed megoshort | 55c | 94.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked megoshort | 22c | 91.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked megoshort | 40c | 82.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Privateer Gaming | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Privateer Gaming | 54c | 73.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked megoshort | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Privateer Gaming | 51c | 68.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Privateer Gaming | 52c | 63.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed megoshort | 37c | 52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed megoshort | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…e074backed Privateer Gaming | 37c | 49.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Privateer Gaming | 64c | 48.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19c…90ffbacked Privateer Gaming | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…f864backed Privateer Gaming | 62c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Privateer Gaming | 49c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Privateer Gaming | 46c | 41.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Privateer Gaming | 57c | 38.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked megoshort | 40c | 34.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Privateer Gaming | 63c | 34.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Privateer Gaming | 70c | 32.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Privateer Gaming | 49c | 28.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Privateer Gaming | 55c | 26.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Privateer Gaming | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Privateer Gaming | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Privateer Gaming | 64c | 23.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Privateer Gaming | 69c | 21.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Privateer Gaming | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…4985backed megoshort | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Privateer Gaming | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Privateer Gaming | 55c | 18.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Privateer Gaming | 73c | 15.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Privateer Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group DPrivateer Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Privateer Gaming - Map 1 WinnerPrivateer Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.