CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Privateer Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c693024b8d7493e7e62ac7fa98254e26a9fc922efffa001b01faa88674f8880
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Privateer Gamingof megoshort, Privateer Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Privateer Gaming | 57c | 1,421$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.59 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed megoshort | 45c | 698.87$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.1 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked megoshort | 45c | 684.8$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.44 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Privateer Gaming | 58c | 536.44$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.91 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked megoshort | 51c | 315.8$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.24 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed megoshort | 37c | 299.59$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.89 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Privateer Gaming | 53c | 284.93$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.65 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Privateer Gaming | 63c | 210.87$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Privateer Gaming | 70c | 126.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked megoshort | 43c | 113.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed megoshort | 51c | 112.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…2d5bbacked megoshort | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Privateer Gaming | 59c | 85.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Privateer Gaming | 59c | 71.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed megoshort | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked megoshort | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked megoshort | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…a723backed megoshort | 45c | 55.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed megoshort | 46c | 52.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed megoshort | 33c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Privateer Gaming | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked megoshort | 32c | 32.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Privateer Gaming | 57c | 21.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…7277backed Privateer Gaming | 75c | 15.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Privateer Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group DPrivateer Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Privateer Gaming - Map 2 Winnermegoshort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.