CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x427885a49531d2407290ca57f52ca0d77d8a964d0d4b156922e83cd86d3d20d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Privateer Gamingof megoshort, Privateer Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed megoshort | 12c | 3,115$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.07 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed megoshort | 18c | 817.58$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.87 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed megoshort | 34c | 752.17$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.09 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed megoshort | 8c | 621.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Privateer Gaming | 65c | 602.5$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked megoshort | 37c | 577.33$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.07 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…337bbacked megoshort | 17c | 395$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed megoshort | 45c | 389.68$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.76 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Privateer Gaming | 64c | 387.69$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.28 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Privateer Gaming | 58c | 385.43$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked megoshort | 15c | 360$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed megoshort | 27c | 349.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed megoshort | 23c | 299.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Privateer Gaming | 76c | 231.88$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked megoshort | 21c | 211.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Privateer Gaming | 71c | 159$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked megoshort | 36c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed megoshort | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed megoshort | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked megoshort | 34c | 145$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed megoshort | 16c | 140.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed megoshort | 18c | 124$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked megoshort | 16c | 116$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked megoshort | 33c | 114.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed megoshort | 43c | 110.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Privateer Gaming | 72c | 100.32$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…848ebacked megoshort | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Privateer Gaming | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…adefbacked Privateer Gaming | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Privateer Gaming | 70c | 91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 120 | 71.7%86 W · 34 L | +16.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Privateer Gaming | 57c | 87.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked megoshort | 45c | 78.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked megoshort | 19c | 65.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed megoshort | 19c | 61.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…8a03backed megoshort | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Privateer Gaming | 58c | 57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed megoshort | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Privateer Gaming | 79c | 49.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked megoshort | 36c | 49.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed megoshort | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Privateer Gaming | 55c | 43.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked megoshort | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Privateer Gaming | 75c | 38.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…830fbacked Privateer Gaming | 77c | 38.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Privateer Gaming | 75c | 35.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…def2backed Privateer Gaming | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Privateer Gaming | 74c | 33.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Privateer Gaming | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Privateer Gaming | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Privateer Gaming | 79c | 25.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Privateer Gaming | 69c | 24.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Privateer Gaming | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked megoshort | 43c | 23.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Privateer Gaming | 63c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Privateer Gaming | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Privateer Gaming | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6635backed Privateer Gaming | 69c | 15.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Privateer Gaming - Map 1 WinnerPrivateer Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Privateer Gaming - Map 2 Winnermegoshort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.